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Freeport-McMoRan Community
NYSE:FCX Community
4
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Freeport-McMoRan
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Freeport-McMoRan
CJ
cjimi
Community Contributor
Appealing for long-term investors seeking exposure to critical minerals.
Risks Dividend history is unstable Stock underperformed vs. industry and market in the past year Highly cyclical business – earnings depend heavily on commodity prices Catalysts Global demand for copper , especially from EVs, AI, and green infrastructure Grasberg mine in Indonesia and large-scale U.S. operations (e.g., Morenci, Bagdad) U.S. legislation may classify copper as a "critical mineral" , possibly introducing 10% tax credit Assumptions Where do you think revenue will be in 5 years time?
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US$44.08
FV
3.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
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0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
4 months ago
author updated this narrative
Freeport-McMoRan
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
US Copper Premium And Global Decarbonization Will Define Future Demand
Key Takeaways Strong U.S. supply position and government support drive premium pricing and multi-year growth opportunities amid energy transition and infrastructure demand. Operational innovations and integrated global assets enable industry-low costs, flexible market targeting, and substantial upside potential from ongoing copper supply constraints.
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US$57.00
FV
25.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.23%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Freeport-McMoRan
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
New Indonesian Smelter Will Fuel Integrated Global Copper Production
Key Takeaways The new Indonesian smelter and U.S. innovation initiatives bolster integration, lower costs, increase margins, and position for growth as demand for copper accelerates. Strong U.S. policy support, brownfield expansions, and disciplined capital allocation enhance financial flexibility, shareholder returns, and future revenue growth potential.
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US$50.43
FV
15.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
6.41%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
58
users have followed this narrative
about 9 hours ago
author updated this narrative
Freeport-McMoRan
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
Technological Substitution And Geopolitical Risks Will Undermine Prospects
Key Takeaways Advances in alternative materials, tighter environmental rules, and labor shortages threaten to reduce demand, increase costs, and pressure margins for Freeport-McMoRan. Resource nationalism and regulatory risks in key countries could disrupt operations, increase volatility, and constrain access to critical mineral reserves.
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US$32.25
FV
32.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
6.14%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
21 days ago
author updated this narrative
Your Valuation for
FCX
FCX
Freeport-McMoRan
Your Fair Value
US$
Current Price
US$42.74
15.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
Growth estimate over
Annual revenue growth rate
5 Years
time period
%/yr
Decrease
Increase
Past
Future
-12b
32b
2015
2018
2021
2024
2025
2027
2030
Revenue US$32.1b
Earnings US$2.4b
Advanced
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