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Freeport-McMoRan Community
NYSE:FCX Community
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Freeport-McMoRan
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Freeport-McMoRan
CJ
cjimi
Community Contributor
Appealing for long-term investors seeking exposure to critical minerals.
Risks Dividend history is unstable Stock underperformed vs. industry and market in the past year Highly cyclical business – earnings depend heavily on commodity prices Catalysts Global demand for copper , especially from EVs, AI, and green infrastructure Grasberg mine in Indonesia and large-scale U.S. operations (e.g., Morenci, Bagdad) U.S. legislation may classify copper as a "critical mineral" , possibly introducing 10% tax credit Assumptions Where do you think revenue will be in 5 years time?
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US$44.08
FV
24.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
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11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Freeport-McMoRan
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 20 Analysts
Indonesia Smelter And Grasberg Leaching Will Advance Operations
Key Takeaways Scaling leach operations and completing the PT-FI smelter are pivotal for boosting revenue and improving operational efficiency by 2025. Demand growth from electrification trends and cost-saving via automation should enhance revenue and net margins significantly.
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US$38.17
FV
12.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
0.56%
Revenue growth p.a.
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0
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3 days ago
author updated this narrative
Freeport-McMoRan
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 20 Analysts
US And Indonesia Projects Will Expand Operational Capabilities
Key Takeaways Scaling leach opportunities and PT-FI smelter recovery are expected to boost revenue and stabilize long-term growth with low costs. Investment in U.S. technologies and global exploration aims to optimize costs and maintain high production rates, enhancing margins and cash flow.
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US$55.03
FV
39.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
7.66%
Revenue growth p.a.
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0
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4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Freeport-McMoRan
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 20 Analysts
Classification Of Copper As Critical Mineral May Introduce 10% Tax Credit
Key Takeaways Technological and automation advances in U.S. operations may lead to cost savings and higher net margins. Strategic expansions and classification as a critical mineral could boost copper production, ensuring revenue growth and stability.
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US$47.04
FV
29.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.67%
Revenue growth p.a.
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0
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4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Your Valuation for
FCX
FCX
Freeport-McMoRan
Your Fair Value
US$
Current Price
US$33.35
18.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
Growth estimate over
Annual revenue growth rate
5 Years
time period
%/yr
Decrease
Increase
Past
Future
-12b
31b
2015
2018
2021
2024
2025
2027
2030
Revenue US$31.2b
Earnings US$2.3b
Advanced
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