Analysts Raise Alcoa Price Target as New Partnerships and Plant Closure Drive Valuation Upward

AN

AnalystConsensusTarget

AnalystConsensusTarget

Not Invested

Based on Analyst Price Targets

Published

24 Apr 25

Updated

06 Dec 25

Views

331

n/a

n/a

AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value

n/a

1Y

18.3%

7D

2.3%

Loading

1Y

18.3%

7D

2.3%

You can edit this narrative until Dec 7 6:10 AM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

US$41.2910.2% overvalued

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 06 Dec 25

Fair value Increased 4.43%

AA: Low Carbon Initiatives And Portfolio Reshaping Will Define Future Performance

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Alcoa from approximately 39.54 dollars to 41.29 dollars, citing higher long term revenue growth expectations and a richer future earnings multiple, despite a lower projected profit margin and slightly higher discount rate. What's in the News Alcoa, Ball and Unilever unveiled the first consumer packaging using ELYSIS carbon free smelting technology in low carbon aerosol cans ahead of COP30, highlighting a major step toward decarbonized aluminum supply chains (Key Developments).

Shared on 22 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 0.21%

AA: Measured Shifts in Operations and Partnerships Will Shape Future Performance

Narrative Update on Alcoa: Analyst Price Target Adjustment Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Alcoa, revising the price target from $39.63 to $39.54 per share. This change reflects modest adjustments to outlooks on discount rate and growth assumptions.

Shared on 05 Nov 25

Fair value Increased 1.06%

AA: Future Investments and Facility Upgrades Will Drive Shareholder Value

Analysts have raised their price target for Alcoa slightly. The new target is $39.63, up from $39.21.

Shared on 22 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 7.02%

Alcoa's analyst price target has increased from $36.64 to $39.21. This change reflects improved revenue growth and profit margin projections according to analysts.

Shared on 08 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 7.47%

Analysts have raised their price target for Alcoa from $34.09 to $36.64. They cite improved forecast profit margins and lower expected future price-to-earnings ratios as key factors in their updated outlook.

Shared on 24 Sep 25

Fair value Increased 1.63%

Despite a notable downgrade in revenue growth expectations, an improved net profit margin has offset this impact, resulting in a slight increase in Alcoa's analyst price target from $33.55 to $34.09. What's in the News Held Analyst/Investor Day event.

Shared on 01 May 25

Fair value Decreased 8.16%

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

US$41.29

10.2% overvalued

Future estimation in

Growth p.a.

Growth p.a.

%

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

1.87%

Metals and Mining revenue growth rate

17.68%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

%

0

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

8.63%

Calculation

US$632.86m

Earnings '28

x

21.68x

PE Ratio '28

=

US$13.72b

Market Cap '28

US$13.72b

Market Cap '28

/

259.20m

No. shares '28

=

US$52.94

Share Price '28

US$52.94 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 8.67% p.a.

=

US$41.26

Fair Value '25