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Alcoa Community
NYSE:AA Community
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Alcoa
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Global Renewable Trends Will Expand Green Aluminum Markets Despite Risks
Key Takeaways Expanding demand for low-carbon and renewable aluminum, combined with Alcoa's green technology investments, positions the company for sustained volume growth and stronger margins. Policy tailwinds and financial strength enable Alcoa to benefit from wider premiums, enhanced cash flow, and potential for increased shareholder returns.
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US$42
FV
22.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.33%
Revenue growth p.a.
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4
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8 days ago
author updated this narrative
Alcoa
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Tariff Volatility And Recycled Materials Will Erode Primary Aluminum Margins
Key Takeaways Rising use of recycled aluminum and competitive lightweight materials, plus global supply growth, threaten Alcoa's long-term demand and the reliability of growth projections. Ongoing tariff volatility, regulatory pressures, operational bottlenecks, and limited production flexibility could compress margins and elevate future costs.
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US$33.55
FV
2.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.05%
Revenue growth p.a.
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27
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14 days ago
author updated this narrative
Alcoa
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Rising Carbon Regulations And Section 232 Tariffs Will Crush Margins
Key Takeaways Escalating regulatory, environmental, and geopolitical pressures are driving up costs and threatening Alcoa's margins, with limited ability to offset these burdens through pricing or operational flexibility. Industry overcapacity, trade barriers, and approval delays challenge Alcoa's market access and growth prospects, resulting in persistent revenue and earnings instability.
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US$27
FV
21.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-2.25%
Revenue growth p.a.
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15 days ago
author updated this narrative