EU Safeguards And Import Curtailments Will Revitalize Silicon Metal Markets

AN

AnalystConsensusTarget

AnalystConsensusTarget

Not Invested

Based on Analyst Price Targets

Published

17 Sep 24

Updated

09 Dec 25

Views

208

n/a

n/a

AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value

n/a

1Y

11.4%

7D

0.7%

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1Y

11.4%

7D

0.7%

You can edit this narrative until Dec 10 8:10 AM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

US$625.3% undervalued

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 09 Dec 25

GSM: Ongoing Share Repurchases Will Drive Stronger Future Shareholder Returns

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Ferroglobe to reflect slightly higher fair value estimates and marginally improved long term growth and profitability assumptions, even though the discount rate and future valuation multiples remain largely unchanged. What's in the News Completed share repurchase of 13,465,973 shares, representing 7.19% of outstanding stock, under the May 14, 2024 buyback program (Key Developments) The latest tranche from July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025 included repurchase of 3,710,111 shares, equal to 1.97% of outstanding shares, for $15.87 million (Key Developments) Total capital deployed under the current buyback reached $52 million, reflecting the continued use of excess cash for shareholder returns (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate, unchanged at $6.00 per share, indicating a stable assessment of intrinsic value.

Shared on 25 Nov 25

GSM: Share Repurchases Will Support Shareholder Value in Coming Quarters

Narrative Update on Ferroglobe Price Target Analysts have adjusted Ferroglobe’s fair value estimate slightly upward to $6.00 per share, citing recent changes in the discount rate and growth assumptions as the basis for this updated target. What's in the News Between July 1, 2025, and September 30, 2025, Ferroglobe repurchased 3,710,111 shares, accounting for 1.97% of total shares, at a cost of $15.87 million (Key Developments).

Shared on 11 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 25%

GSM: Significant Buyback Completion Will Drive Near-Term Shareholder Value

Ferroglobe Price Target Lowered Amid Shifting Analyst Outlook Analysts have reduced their price target for Ferroglobe from $8.00 to $6.00, citing increased discount rates even with improved growth and profitability projections. What's in the News Ferroglobe completed a buyback tranche between July 1, 2025 and September 30, 2025, repurchasing 3,710,111 shares for $15.87 million.

Shared on 01 May 25

Fair value Decreased 8.68%

Shared on 23 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 2.34%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased shares outstanding growth rate from 0.0% to -0.0%.

Shared on 17 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 5.41%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 26 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 13%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 28%

Shared on 11 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 38%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from 6.0% to 3.3%, increased future PE multiple from 8.2x to 11.5x and increased shares outstanding growth rate from -0.0% to 0.0%.

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

US$6

25.3% undervalued

Future estimation in

Growth p.a.

Growth p.a.

%

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

13.93%

Metals and Mining revenue growth rate

17.40%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

%

0

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

9.43%

Calculation

US$146.35m

Earnings '28

x

10.31x

PE Ratio '28

=

US$1.51b

Market Cap '28

US$1.51b

Market Cap '28

/

192.49m

No. shares '28

=

US$7.84

Share Price '28

US$7.84 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 9.43% p.a.

=

US$5.98

Fair Value '25