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GSM: Ongoing Share Repurchases Will Drive Stronger Future Shareholder Returns

EU Safeguards And Import Curtailments Will Revitalize Silicon Metal Markets

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GSM
AnalystConsensusTarget
Not Invested
Published 17 Sep 2024

Update shared on 09 Dec 2025

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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
11.5%
7D
0.7%

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Ferroglobe to reflect slightly higher fair value estimates and marginally improved long term growth and profitability assumptions, even though the discount rate and future valuation multiples remain largely unchanged.

What's in the News

  • Completed share repurchase of 13,465,973 shares, representing 7.19% of outstanding stock, under the May 14, 2024 buyback program (Key Developments)
  • The latest tranche from July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025 included repurchase of 3,710,111 shares, equal to 1.97% of outstanding shares, for $15.87 million (Key Developments)
  • Total capital deployed under the current buyback reached $52 million, reflecting the continued use of excess cash for shareholder returns (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate, unchanged at $6.00 per share, indicating a stable assessment of intrinsic value.
  • Discount Rate, risen slightly from 9.41% to 9.43%, reflecting a marginally higher perceived risk profile or cost of capital.
  • Revenue Growth, effectively unchanged at about 13.07% per year, signaling no material shift in top line expectations.
  • Net Profit Margin, effectively unchanged at about 7.37%, suggesting stable long term profitability assumptions.
  • Future P/E, unchanged at 10.31x, indicating a stable valuation multiple applied to forward earnings.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.