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Fresh Competition And Market Shifts Will Shape Expansion Outlook Ahead

Published
28 Aug 24
Updated
25 Oct 25
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$76.06
26.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
25 Oct
US$55.82
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1Y
-58.6%
7D
7.9%

Author's Valuation

US$76.0626.6% undervalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on25 Oct 25
Fair value Decreased 4.10%

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Freshpet from $79.31 to $76.06. They cite ongoing growth deceleration and rising competitive pressures in the pet food market as the primary reasons for this adjustment.

Shared on11 Oct 25
Fair value Decreased 6.21%

Freshpet’s analyst consensus price target has been revised down from $84.56 to $79.31. Analysts highlight slowing revenue growth and intensifying competition as key factors impacting the company’s outlook.

Shared on27 Sep 25
Fair value Decreased 3.50%

Analysts have trimmed Freshpet’s price target to $84.56 due to decelerating sales growth, heightened competition, and muted near-term catalysts. Analyst Commentary Ongoing deceleration in top-line growth trends undermining revenue momentum.

Shared on27 Aug 25
Fair value Decreased 6.96%

Freshpet’s consensus price target was revised down from $94.18 to $88.69 as analysts cite decelerating growth, rising competitive pressures (notably from Chewy’s fresh dog food), and a sector-wide valuation reset. Analyst Commentary Growth deceleration signals: Sequential sales growth at Freshpet is slowing versus prior years, with Q4 sales growth expectations below consensus due to increased competition.

Shared on07 May 25
Fair value Decreased 23%

Shared on30 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 4.02%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on23 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 2.59%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on17 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 6.00%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased profit margin from 9.0% to 7.9% and increased future PE multiple from 50.7x to 56.6x.

Shared on09 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 3.75%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on02 Apr 25
Fair value Increased 1.63%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on26 Mar 25
Fair value Decreased 2.77%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on19 Mar 25
Fair value Decreased 2.22%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on10 Mar 25
Fair value Increased 40%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased profit margin from 6.9% to 8.5% and decreased future PE multiple from 80.8x to 58.5x.