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VAALCO Energy
WA
WaneInvestmentHouse
Community Contributor
Vaalco Energy delivered a mixed Q2 2025 performance
Vaalco Energy delivered a mixed Q2 2025 performance, reflecting strong operational execution but facing headwinds from weaker commodity prices. Strengths / Catalysts Production Beats Guidance: NRI production averaged 16,956 BOEPD, exceeding the high end of guidance, with sales volumes also above expectations.
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US$4.50
FV
15.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
7.47%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
10
users have commented on this narrative
24
users have followed this narrative
15 days ago
author updated this narrative
Cenovus Energy
WA
WaneInvestmentHouse
Community Contributor
Cenovus Delivers Solid Q2 2025 Results
Q2 2025 Financial & Operational Highlights Financial Performance Cash from operating activities: $2.37B (up from $1.31B in Q1; down from $2.81B in Q2 2024) Adjusted funds flow (AFF): $1.52B (down from $2.21B in Q1; down from $2.36B in Q2 2024) Free funds flow (FFF): $355M (down from $983M in Q1; down from $1.21B in Q2 2024) Net earnings: $851M ($0.45/share), down slightly from Q1 ($859M) Capital investment: $1.16B (steady YoY) Net debt: $4.93B (down from $5.08B in Q1) Return to shareholders: $819M $301M share buybacks $368M dividends $150M preferred share redemption Revenue & Margins Total revenue: $12.3B (down from $13.3B in Q1) Operating margin: $2.1B (down from $2.8B in Q1) Upstream margin: $2.1B (down from $3.0B in Q1) Downstream margin shortfall: ($71M) (improved from Q1 shortfall of $237M) Production & Throughput Upstream production: 765,900 BOE/d (down from 818,900 in Q1) Christina Lake: 217,900 bbls/d (↓ wildfire disruption) Foster Creek: 186,100 bbls/d (↓ planned maintenance) Sunrise: 50,300 bbls/d (↓ maintenance) Lloydminster thermal: 97,800 bbls/d (↓ outage at Rush Lake) Downstream crude throughput: 665,800 bbls/d (steady; utilization 92% ) Canadian refining: 112,400 bbls/d (104% utilization) U.S. refining: 553,400 bbls/d (90% utilization) Key Growth & Project Updates Narrows Lake: Achieved first oil (July), ramping to 20–30K bbls/d by year-end. Foster Creek optimization: 87% complete; 4 new boilers adding 80K bbls/d steam capacity.
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US$12.51
FV
33.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-0.73%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
14
users have commented on this narrative
16
users have followed this narrative
21 days ago
author updated this narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
35.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
20
users have followed this narrative
26 days ago
author updated this narrative
Exxon Mobil
HE
Helzur
Community Contributor
Exxon Mobil's 17.5% Upside Promises Industry-Leading Returns in Energy Transition
This analysis concludes that Exxon Mobil (XOM) represents a compelling investment opportunity, with a fair value of $132.00 per share, implying a 17.5% upside from the current price of $112.32. The BUY recommendation is not based on a speculative bet on higher oil prices, but on the company's fundamental transformation, operational excellence, and disciplined capital allocation that is expected to generate sustainable, industry-leading returns.
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US$132.00
FV
15.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
6.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
27 days ago
author updated this narrative
Helix Energy Solutions Group
WA
WaneInvestmentHouse
Community Contributor
Helix Energy Solutions (HLX) Q2 result – Navigating Near-Term Headwinds with Structural Strength
Helix Energy Solutions (NYSE: HLX) is currently experiencing a transitory period of operational and macroeconomic headwinds. Q2 2025 results came in below expectations, with a net loss of $2.6M versus net income of $3.1M in Q1 2025 and $32.3M in Q2 2024.
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US$7.00
FV
9.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.10%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
6
users have commented on this narrative
12
users have followed this narrative
about 1 month ago
author updated this narrative
Phillips 66
MS
mschoen25
Community Contributor
room for higher margins
Phillips 66 (PSX) is often considered undervalued for several reasons. Investment analysis typically looks at various factors to determine if a company's stock might be undervalued and whether it has the potential to achieve higher profit margins.
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US$268.71
FV
51.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
about 2 months ago
author updated this narrative
GeoPark
LE
LEANDRO
Community Contributor
PETROLERA COMOBIANA SUBVALUADA
Cuando compro una acción de Geopark estoy pagando una pequeña parcela de tierra con petróleo enterrado abajo. A su vez, esa parcela viene con deuda, asique también estoy haciéndome cargo de una deuda que no es mía.
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US$15.30
FV
58.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
26.35%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
6
users have followed this narrative
2 months ago
author updated this narrative
MARP
Marine Petroleum Trust
KR
Kristopherpl
Community Contributor
What’s today’s fair value estimate:
Peter Lynch Valuation Based on the formula: Earnings growth rate × TTM EPS, ValueInvesting.io estimates a fair value of $9.09, with 122% upside from recent trading ($4.10 on June 13) . Note this method may overstate value in a cyclical royalty trust like MARPS, but still highlights a potentially significant gap.
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US$6.62
FV
26.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.98%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
2 months ago
author updated this narrative
Occidental Petroleum
DZ
Dzitkowskik
Community Contributor
Occidental Petroleum is set to achieve a 16% profit margin improvement
Valuation Occidental Petroleum (OXY) - Future Outlook 1. Business Position in 3, 5, or 10 Years Occidental Petroleum's future business position will likely be shaped by its core oil and gas operations, its aggressive push into carbon capture and storage (CCS), and its financial health.
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US$55.05
FV
16.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
9
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
47
users have followed this narrative
3 months ago
author updated this narrative
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