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CMG: Share Repurchases And Menu Revamps Will Drive Stronger Performance Ahead

Published
06 Aug 24
Updated
20 Nov 25
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-49.4%
7D
-3.3%

Author's Valuation

US$43.1829.7% undervalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 20 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 4.23%

CMG: Robust Unit Expansion Plans Will Lead to Improved Performance

Analysts have lowered their average price target for Chipotle Mexican Grill, cutting it from approximately $45.09 to $43.18 per share. Ongoing macroeconomic pressures and softer same-store sales trends continue to weigh on the company's near-term outlook.

Shared on 01 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 17%

Chipotle Mexican Grill's analyst price target has been lowered significantly, dropping from approximately $54 to about $45. Analysts cite ongoing traffic challenges, softer same-store sales growth, and mounting macroeconomic headwinds following disappointing third-quarter results.

Shared on 18 Oct 25

Fair value Decreased 4.90%

Chipotle Mexican Grill's analyst price target has been reduced from approximately $56.94 to $54.15. Analysts cite near-term industry headwinds, including choppy demand, softer sales trends, and cautious sector outlooks as factors driving the adjustment.

Shared on 04 Oct 25

Fair value Decreased 1.40%

Analysts have lowered their price target for Chipotle Mexican Grill to approximately $56.94 from about $57.75. This modest reduction reflects tempered revenue growth expectations, despite recent performance improvements and ongoing industry challenges.

Shared on 10 Sep 25

Fair value Decreased 0.87%

Analysts modestly lowered Chipotle's consensus price target to $57.75, citing disappointing Q2 results, macro headwinds, and heightened competitive pressures, though some remain constructive on resilient demand, recent menu innovation, and the company's long-term growth outlook. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite improved risk/reward following a 31% YTD selloff, with expectations that market pessimism regarding same-store-sales is overly priced in.

Shared on 07 May 25

Fair value Increased 0.58%

Shared on 30 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 8.95%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 23 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 0.047%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 16 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 2.45%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 11%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 9.07%

Shared on 26 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 0.77%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 0.14%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 10 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 13%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.