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Expedia’s Next Chapter: Why Experience-Driven Travel Matters More Than Ever

Published
14 Jan 26
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US$345.9416.0% undervalued intrinsic discount

yiannisz's Fair Value

After a turbulent few years for global travel, Expedia Group (NASDAQ: EXPE) finds itself in a very different position today. The recovery phase is largely over. What comes next is a more competitive, more intentional travel economy—one where how people travel matters just as much as where they go.

Expedia isn’t just selling flights and hotel rooms anymore. It’s repositioning itself as an ecosystem for modern travelers whose priorities have shifted toward flexibility, authenticity, and experience.

Travel Demand Is Back—but It’s Smarter Now

Pent-up demand fueled the initial rebound in travel, but that tailwind is fading. What’s replacing it is more selective behavior. Travelers are taking fewer trips, but they’re planning them more carefully, staying longer, and seeking better value per experience.

This shift benefits platforms like Expedia that can bundle accommodations, transport, and activities into a single planning flow. The company’s breadth—spanning Expedia, Hotels.com, Vrbo, and its B2B arm—allows it to capture demand across multiple traveler types rather than relying on one narrow segment.

Experiences Are Becoming the Differentiator

Flights and hotels are increasingly commoditized. What separates one trip from another is the experience around it: location knowledge, itinerary planning, and discovery. This is where Expedia has been investing more heavily, especially in tools that surface activities, local stays, and longer-form travel options.

According to Jiayi Wang, travel expert and founder of The Diary Of A Nomad, this shift reflects how travelers think today: People are no longer just booking destinations—they’re booking stories. Travelers want platforms that help them uncover places beyond the obvious and plan trips that feel personal, not generic.

That insight matters for Expedia’s long-term strategy. Discovery-driven travel encourages deeper engagement, higher spend per trip, and stronger platform loyalty.

Vrbo and the Longer-Stay Trend

One of Expedia’s underappreciated assets is Vrbo, which benefits directly from the rise of longer stays, remote work flexibility, and multi-generational travel. These bookings tend to be higher value and less transactional than single-night hotel stays.

As travelers blend work, leisure, and exploration, platforms that support extended planning cycles and alternative accommodations gain an edge. Expedia’s ability to cross-sell between hotels, vacation rentals, and experiences creates a flywheel that smaller competitors struggle to replicate.

Technology as a Margin Lever

Behind the scenes, Expedia has been simplifying its tech stack and centralizing data across brands. That’s not just a cost story—it’s a margin story. Better data improves personalization, pricing efficiency, and conversion rates.

AI-driven recommendations and dynamic packaging allow Expedia to increase revenue per user without needing proportional increases in traffic. In a slower-growth environment, that operating leverage becomes critical.

Competitive Landscape: Why Scale Still Wins

Competition remains intense. Google continues to encroach on travel discovery, and niche platforms specialize in experiences or accommodations. But Expedia’s advantage lies in integration. Travelers often want one platform that handles everything, not five different apps stitched together.

Expedia’s global scale also gives it leverage with suppliers—an advantage that becomes more valuable when pricing pressure increases across the industry.

The Investment Takeaway

Expedia is no longer a simple reopening trade. It’s an execution story. The company’s future depends less on macro travel growth and more on its ability to monetize evolving traveler behavior.

As travel becomes more intentional and experience-led, platforms that help people plan better—not just faster—stand to benefit. Expedia’s broad ecosystem, improving technology, and focus on discovery position it well for that next phase.

For investors, EXPE offers exposure to global travel without betting on a single trend. It’s not immune to economic cycles, but it is adapting to how people actually travel today. And in this market, adaptation is often the difference between recovery and reinvention.

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Disclaimer

The user yiannisz holds no position in NasdaqGS:EXPE. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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