Materials Swedish Community
Our community narratives are driven by numbers and valuation.
Materials Swedish Investing Ideas
Investment Case: Sotkamo Silver (SOSI)
Investment Case: Sotkamo Silver (SOSI) Scenario: Structural Bull Market & The Path to $100 Silver Executive Summary: The "Deep Value" Case While many investors still view Sotkamo Silver through the lens of its past liquidity struggles, the current market environment has fundamentally changed the math. With silver currently trading at $77–$78/oz , the company is no longer just surviving—it is entering a phase of explosive profitability that the market has yet to price in.Read more
Grangex is set to achieve a 191.89% revenue growth in five years
Based on the ramp-up of GRANGEX’s key mining projects (Dannemora, Sydvaranger, Apatit) and industry price forecasts, a potential annual revenue for 2030 is roughly SEK6.5 billion. This estimate assumes: Full-scale commercial production (starting 2027–2028) from Dannemora and Sydvaranger mines.Read more
M&A machine with a relentless focus on operational excellence
Stripping away the seemingly "boring" exterior of rubber compounding and looking at the company’s true nature: an extremely disciplined M&A machine with a relentless focus on operational excellence 1. The Narrative: "The Consolidation Engine" Niche Dominance: Hexpol doesn't compete on price for bulk products.Read more
I-Tech's Selektope Expansion Will Drive 28% Revenue Increase in 5 Years
Q1 2025 Update Updates to the model and supporting figures below Solid report, above expectation on all lines. Good cashflows, removing doubts/concerns about this topic.Read more
HEXPOL AB: Sustained Long Term Growth, Stable Margins, and Strategic M&A
Catalysts Historic Growth: HEXPOL has demonstrated robust growth over the years—expanding from modest beginnings in 2001 to achieving sales over 22 billion SEK in 2023—and its strong track record suggests that this momentum is likely to continue. Gross Margins: The company has maintained stable gross margins (18-23%) last five years, reflecting enduring pricing power vs customers.Read more
SSAB in pole position when it comes to the combination of steel tariffs and the EU's investment drive
Update as of 9 April: Just like any other basic resources stock, SSAB got hammered ever since the advent of Trump's reciprocal tariffs and their ongoing escalation down to recession fears; thus, as always with markets tumbling on a broad basis, it's no use to catch a falling knife. Once the current, all-out sell-off is over, however, I stick to SSAB's relatively positive prospects due to the catalysts as given below, since nothing has changed with the EU's investment agenda.Read more
A Cyclical Transformation Story with Long-Term Upside
SSAB is at a pivotal moment as it navigates the dual challenges of a cyclical steel market and a major transformation toward fossil‐free production. The company is aggressively investing in its new electric arc furnace (EAF) projects—most notably a “mini-mill” in Luleå and conversion plans in Oxelösund—to shift its product mix toward higher-margin, premium steels such as advanced high‐strength and “green” steel.Read more
Holmen will see earnings surprise if energy prices recover in Sweden
Summary Holmen is trading at a premium (P/E ~23) amid cyclical weakness in sawmill products and lower energy income. A more reasonable multiple on “normalized” earnings is likely ~10–15× over a longer cycle, suggesting possible overvaluation if 2025 earnings do not rebound.Read more
Global And North American Sustainability Will Boost Fiber Packaging
Key Takeaways Rapid adoption of high-value, eco-friendly packaging and disciplined cost management position Billerud for substantial growth, margin expansion, and outsized shareholder returns. Unique advantages in innovation, U.S. market presence, and strategic pulp capacity enable Billerud to capitalize on industry shifts toward fiber-based solutions and trade policy changes.Read more
