Capital Goods Portuguese Community

️ Business Overview Key Metrics Total: -2.5/17 +1 ✅ Projected Operating Margin: 12% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Revenue CAGR: 8% +0 ⚠️ Last 5-Year ROIC: 9.83% +0 ⚠️ Estimated Cost of Capital: 9.83% (around ROIC) -1 ❌ Last 5-Year Shares Outstanding CAGR: +0.50% +1 ✅ Projected 5-Year EPS CAGR: 12.36% +1 ✅ Projected 5-Year Dividend CAGR: 11.63% -1.5 ❌ Estimated Debt Rating: B1 -2 ❌❌ Morningstar Moat: None -1 ❌ Morningstar Uncertainty: High During the 2030 projections, the Mota-Engil management projected the following for the future of the company: 2026 Revenue Growth : to accelerate to 10-15% Operating Margin to be sustained around 11-12% Net Margin to be maintained around 2.5-3% EPS to grow from 0.43 euros to 0.47-0.60 2030 Revenue Growth 9.000 million by 2030, representing a 10% CAGR Operating Margin to expand into >= 13% Net Margin to expand into >=4% EPS to grow from 0.43 euros to 0.55-1.17 (this are my expectations, given my lower to higher assumptions, presented later on during this valuation). To be honest this confident and overall good projections by the management took me by surprise and I reavaluated my position on the company.Read more

Mota-Engil is riding a wave of long-term building and mining work, especially across Africa and Portugal, and it’s also leaning into waste and clean-energy services that could make earnings steadier over time. But the same plan depends on government spending, commodity cycles, and higher-risk countries where politics, payments, and currencies can quickly squeeze profits.Read more

Mota-Engil’s profits look unusually strong in parts of Africa, but a lot rides on a small number of big mining and infrastructure contracts staying on track. If commodity spending cools or borrowing stays expensive, the company could face tougher renewals, delays, and weaker profitability than the market expects.Read more

Catalysts About Mota-Engil SGPS Mota-Engil SGPS is a diversified engineering, construction, industrial services and environmental infrastructure group with a global footprint, particularly strong in Africa, Europe and Latin America. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Read more