Our community narratives are driven by numbers and valuation.
CTT is set up to benefit from two big forces at once: cheaper fuel for its delivery fleet and higher interest rates that can help its banking and financial services. The mix of these tailwinds could lift results even if the core parcel and mail business stays steady.Read more
️ Business Overview Key Metrics Total: -2.5/17 +1 ✅ Projected Operating Margin: 12% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Revenue CAGR: 8% +0 ⚠️ Last 5-Year ROIC: 9.83% +0 ⚠️ Estimated Cost of Capital: 9.83% (around ROIC) -1 ❌ Last 5-Year Shares Outstanding CAGR: +0.50% +1 ✅ Projected 5-Year EPS CAGR: 12.36% +1 ✅ Projected 5-Year Dividend CAGR: 11.63% -1.5 ❌ Estimated Debt Rating: B1 -2 ❌❌ Morningstar Moat: None -1 ❌ Morningstar Uncertainty: High During the 2030 projections, the Mota-Engil management projected the following for the future of the company: 2026 Revenue Growth : to accelerate to 10-15% Operating Margin to be sustained around 11-12% Net Margin to be maintained around 2.5-3% EPS to grow from 0.43 euros to 0.47-0.60 2030 Revenue Growth 9.000 million by 2030, representing a 10% CAGR Operating Margin to expand into >= 13% Net Margin to expand into >=4% EPS to grow from 0.43 euros to 0.55-1.17 (this are my expectations, given my lower to higher assumptions, presented later on during this valuation). To be honest this confident and overall good projections by the management took me by surprise and I reavaluated my position on the company.Read more

The insiders are buying the stock. Fundamentally Edp is undervalued due to a potential growth that I see in its business.Read more
Business Overview Key Metrics Total: 1/17 +1 ✅ Projected Operating Margin: 10.00% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Revenue CAGR: 8.60% +0 ⚠️ Last 5-Year ROIC: 5.12% -2 ❌❌ Estimated Cost of Capital: 7.46% (greater than ROIC) +1 ✅ Last 5-Year Shares Outstanding CAGR: -2.84% +2 ✅✅ Projected 5-Year EPS CAGR: 23.74% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Dividend CAGR: 7.72% +1 ✅ Estimated Debt Rating: A3 -1 ❌ Morningstar Moat: Narrow -1 ❌ Morningstar Uncertainty: High CTT has spent decades building an unrivalled logistics operation in Portugal — density, efficiency, and customer trust that took years to develop. It is now exporting that model into Spain, a larger and underpenetrated market.Read more

🪵Business Overview Key Metrics Total: 2/17 +1 ✅ Projected Operating Margin: 12.43% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Revenue CAGR: 0.84% +1 ✅ Last 5-Year ROIC: 10.02% +1 ✅ Estimated Cost of Capital: 6.92% (less than ROIC) +0 ⚠️Last 5-Year Shares Outstanding CAGR: +0.00% -1 ❌ Projected 5-Year EPS CAGR: 2.00% (below ~10% represents a negative given the "easiness" of manipulation by the companies of these values) +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Dividend CAGR: 4.66% +2 ✅✅ Estimated Debt Rating: Aaa -2 ❌❌ Morningstar Moat: None +0 ⚠️ Morningstar Uncertainty: Medium Founded in 1870, Corticeira Amorim is the biggest producer of cork in the world, and to be honest, a pride for me as a portuguese investor. In my opinion, it is the most fascinating and the portuguese company with the widest moat within a very challenging environment.Read more

Key Takeaways Flexible hydro and storage, plus favorable regulations, are driving higher-than-expected profitability, regulatory returns, and long-term growth opportunities. Strong ESG positioning and strategic global diversification enable EDP to achieve lower capital costs, resilient margins, and sector-leading expansion.Read more

Mota-Engil’s profits look unusually strong in parts of Africa, but a lot rides on a small number of big mining and infrastructure contracts staying on track. If commodity spending cools or borrowing stays expensive, the company could face tougher renewals, delays, and weaker profitability than the market expects.Read more

NOS is pushing fiber internet deeper into Portuguese homes while using new AI tools to cut costs, a mix that could help it grow even in a crowded telecom market. The catch is that its cinema and media side is weakening and discount competition could make it harder to raise prices.Read more

Banco Comercial Português is leaning harder into digital banking and business lending, aiming to grow even if interest rates fall and competition heats up. The story hinges on whether loan growth and lower legal costs in Poland can outweigh the extra risk that comes with lending more to small businesses and companies.Read more
