China Coal Energy

Earnings Outlook Will Improve Despite Production Declines And Lower Dividend

AN

AnalystConsensusTarget

AnalystConsensusTarget

Not Invested

Based on Analyst Price Targets

Published

07 Nov 24

Updated

27 Nov 25

n/a

n/a

AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value

n/a

1Y

5.0%

7D

-0.8%

Loading

1Y

5.0%

7D

-0.8%

You can edit this narrative until Nov 28 11:10 PM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

HK$10.220.5% undervalued

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 27 Nov 25

1898: Earnings Outlook Will Remain Steady As Chemical Output Offsets Coal Dip

Analysts have made a slight adjustment to China Coal Energy's price target, maintaining fair value at approximately ¥10.22 per share. They cite minimal changes in key financial metrics as the rationale for the update.

Shared on 11 Nov 25

Fair value Increased 0.77%

1898: Future Downward Coal Production Trend Will Pressure Earnings

Analysts have modestly increased their price target for China Coal Energy from ¥10.14 to ¥10.22. This reflects updated expectations for profitability and a slightly lower discount rate.

Shared on 28 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 2.04%

Analysts have raised their price target for China Coal Energy from ¥9.94 to ¥10.14. This reflects improved outlooks for revenue growth and profit margins in recent forecasts.

Shared on 26 Aug 25

Fair value Increased 9.75%

Driven by improved revenue growth outlook and a higher anticipated future P/E ratio, analysts have raised their fair value estimate for China Coal Energy, lifting the consensus price target from HK$9.06 to HK$9.70. What's in the News Interim dividend decreased to RMB 0.166 per share for the six months ended June 30, 2025.

Shared on 01 May 25

Fair value Increased 3.42%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased revenue growth from -1.9% to -1.5%.

Shared on 23 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 0.11%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 17 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 2.78%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 2.04%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased discount rate from 9.2% to 8.0%.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 4.23%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 26 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 13%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from 1.4% to -1.9% and decreased profit margin from 9.9% to 8.7%.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 0.47%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 12 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 14%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from 2.1% to 1.4%.

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

HK$10.22

0.5% undervalued

Future estimation in

% p.a.

0

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

0.74%

Oil and Gas revenue growth rate

1.24%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

%

0

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

7.05%

Calculation

CN¥17.92b

Earnings '28

x

8.44x

PE Ratio '28

=

CN¥151.34b

Market Cap '28

CN¥151.34b

Market Cap '28

/

13.26b

No. shares '28

=

CN¥11.41

Share Price '28

CN¥11.41 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 7.03% p.a.

=

CN¥9.31

Fair Value '25

CN¥9.31 Fair Value '25

Converted to HKD @ 1.0980 CNY/HKD Exchange Rate

=

HK$10.22

Fair Value '25