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1898: Earnings Outlook Will Remain Steady As Chemical Output Offsets Coal Dip

Earnings Outlook Will Improve Despite Production Declines And Lower Dividend

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1898
AnalystConsensusTarget
Not Invested
Published 07 Nov 2024

Update shared on 27 Nov 2025

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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
5.4%
7D
-5.5%

Analysts have made a slight adjustment to China Coal Energy's price target, maintaining fair value at approximately ¥10.22 per share. They cite minimal changes in key financial metrics as the rationale for the update.

What's in the News

  • Reported a commercial coal production volume of 11,590,000 tonnes for September 2025, with a year-to-date total of 101,580,000 tonnes. Both figures are slightly lower compared to the previous year (Announcement of Operating Results).
  • Production of urea and methanol increased in both the monthly and year-to-date figures for September 2025, showing significant year-over-year gains (Announcement of Operating Results).
  • A board meeting was held on October 27, 2025, to review the Group's quarterly results for the nine months ended September 2025 (Board Meeting).
  • Data for August 2025 showed that commercial coal and several other chemical product outputs remained steady or improved. Urea production in particular rose year over year (Announcement of Operating Results).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target remains unchanged at approximately ¥10.22 per share.
  • The Discount Rate has risen slightly to 7.03 percent.
  • The Revenue Growth projection is stable at 1.72 percent.
  • The Net Profit Margin estimate shows no significant change, remaining at 10.67 percent.
  • The Future P/E ratio has fallen slightly from 8.49x to 8.44x.

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Disclaimer

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