Update shared on 11 Nov 2025
Fair value Increased 0.77%Analysts have modestly increased their price target for China Coal Energy from ¥10.14 to ¥10.22. This reflects updated expectations for profitability and a slightly lower discount rate.
What's in the News
- Reported commercial coal production for September 2025 was 11,590,000 tonnes, slightly down from 11,900,000 tonnes a year ago. Year-to-date output was also marginally lower (Key Developments).
- Growth was seen in urea and methanol production volumes year-over-year for September 2025. Polyethylene and polypropylene volumes remained steady (Key Developments).
- The Board of Directors held a meeting on October 27, 2025 to review quarterly results for the period ending September 30, 2025 (Key Developments).
- An interim dividend of RMB 0.166 per share was announced for the six months ended June 30, 2025. Payment is scheduled for October 22, 2025 (Key Developments).
- Operating results for July and August 2025 indicated continued stability in coal production and increased urea and methanol output compared to previous years (Key Developments).
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value: The fair value estimate has increased slightly from ¥10.14 to ¥10.22 per share.
- Discount Rate: The discount rate has decreased from 7.46% to 7.02%.
- Revenue Growth: Projected revenue growth was modestly reduced, shifting from 1.82% to 1.72%.
- Net Profit Margin: The expected net profit margin rose marginally from 10.64% to 10.67%.
- Future P/E: The forward price-to-earnings ratio edged down from 8.51x to 8.49x.
Disclaimer
AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.