Update shared on 28 Oct 2025
Fair value Increased 2.04%Analysts have raised their price target for China Coal Energy from ¥9.94 to ¥10.14. This reflects improved outlooks for revenue growth and profit margins in recent forecasts.
What's in the News
- Reported September 2025 commercial coal production volume of 11.59 million tonnes, slightly down from 11.9 million tonnes in the previous year (Announcement of Operating Results).
- Year-to-date production volumes for major products such as commercial coal, polyethylene, and polypropylene show modest declines. Urea and methanol volumes increased compared to last year (Announcement of Operating Results).
- Interim dividend for the six months ended June 30, 2025 is set at RMB 0.166 per share. Payment is scheduled for October 22, 2025 (Dividend Decreases).
- A board meeting held on October 27, 2025 focused on reviewing quarterly results for the nine months ending September 30, 2025 (Board Meeting).
- Recent board meetings also approved interim results and dividend distribution for the first half of 2025 (Board Meeting).
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value: Increased from ¥9.94 to ¥10.14, reflecting an improved earnings outlook.
- Discount Rate: Decreased from 7.68% to 7.46%, indicating a marginally lower perceived risk.
- Revenue Growth: Changed from a decline of -1.18% to an increase of 1.82%, suggesting enhanced growth expectations.
- Net Profit Margin: Rose from 9.91% to 10.64%, pointing to forecasts of better profitability.
- Future P/E: Declined from 9.22x to 8.51x, making the stock modestly cheaper relative to estimated earnings.
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