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Hochschild Mining Community
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Hochschild Mining
RO
RockeTeller
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Silver Play by A Family with 10x Potential
Hochschild Mining – Overview Location : South America Production (2025) : Gold: 250,000 oz Silver: 8 million oz (excluding Pallancata C&M) AISC (Break-even) : Gold: ~$1,850/oz Silver: ~$24/oz Cash Flow Margin at $4,000 gold / $100 silver : Strong Debt : $350M $100M due in 2024 $89M cash on hand $200M additional credit available New & Future Projects Mara Rosa (Brazil) : 80,000 oz/year (low cost) Started in 2024 Royropata (Peru) : 100,000 oz AUEQ (3M oz silver/year) Starts in 2028 Monte Do Carmo (Brazil) : 90,000 oz gold Permitting stage – expected 2028 Volcan (Chile) : 9 million oz gold (.7 gpt) Potential 330K oz/year AISC: ~$1,000 Capex: $900M Production could begin 2028–2030 Not included in cash flow estimate (optional upside or sale) Ownership 50% owned by one family Dividends are a priority Unlikely to sell – growth focus Valuation at $4,000 Gold / $100 Silver Assume production from 2028 with 400K oz gold & 10M oz silver: Gold FCF : 400,000 oz × ($4,000 – $1,850) = $860M Silver FCF : 10,000,000 oz × ($100 – $24) = $760M Total Annual FCF ≈ $1.62B Valuation at 10x FCF = $16.2B Conclusion If Hochschild Mining executes on new projects and gold reaches $4,000/oz, silver hits $100/oz, the company could be worth over $16 billion. However, high debt, permitting risks, and political red flags (Argentina, Peru, Chile) may keep valuation multiples conservative.
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UK£24.00
FV
87.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
68.48%
Revenue growth p.a.
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6 days ago
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Hochschild Mining
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Transition To Full Production At Mara Rosa Mine Will Increase Output
Key Takeaways Expanding resources through exploration and transitioning to full Mara Rosa production could enhance revenue, profitability, and long-term stability. Cost optimization, new projects, and a new dividend policy are poised to strengthen financial health and investor confidence.
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UK£2.89
FV
5.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
5.73%
Revenue growth p.a.
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5 days ago
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Your Valuation for
HOC
HOC
Hochschild Mining
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UK£
Current Price
UK£3.04
14.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
Growth estimate over
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time period
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-235m
1b
2015
2018
2021
2024
2025
2027
2030
Revenue US$1.2b
Earnings US$124.6m
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