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If silver reaches $100 per ounce

Published
26 Sep 24
Updated
13 Sep 25
RockeTeller's Fair Value
CA$102.00
84.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
13 Sep
CA$15.78
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1Y
0.2%
7D
5.9%

Author's Valuation

CA$102.0

84.5% undervalued intrinsic discount

RockeTeller's Fair Value

Shared on13 Sep 25
Fair value Increased 38%

Latest info (Q2 2025): Shares outstanding: ~141.9M Cash: ~$114M Debt: ~C$100M H1 2025 production: ~2.1M oz silver (annualized ~4.2M oz, ramping toward 7M oz target) Cash costs: ~$20–22/oz (AISC likely a bit higher; I’ll model at $20 and $25/oz). Scenario 1: Silver = $100/oz At AISC = $25/oz Margin per ounce = $100 − $25 = $75 Annual FCF = 7,000,000 × 75 = $525M Valuation at 10× FCF = $5.25B → $36.99/share Valuation at 15× FCF = $7.88B → $55.48/share Valuation at 20× FCF = $10.50B → $73.96/share At AISC = $20/oz Margin per ounce = $100 − $20 = $80 Annual FCF = 7,000,000 × 80 = $560M Valuation at 10× FCF = $5.60B → $39.47/share Valuation at 15× FCF = $8.40B → $59.20/share Valuation at 20× FCF = $11.20B → $78.93/share Scenario 2: Silver = $150/oz At AISC = $25/oz Margin per ounce = $150 − $25 = $125 Annual FCF = 7,000,000 × 125 = $875M Valuation at 10× FCF = $8.75B → $61.68/share Valuation at 15× FCF = $13.13B → $92.52/share Valuation at 20× FCF = $17.50B → $123.36/share At AISC = $20/oz Margin per ounce = $150 − $20 = $130 Annual FCF = 7,000,000 × 130 = $910M Valuation at 10× FCF = $9.10B → $64.10/share Valuation at 15× FCF = $13.65B → $96.15/share Valuation at 20× FCF = $18.20B → $128.20/share So, depending on AISC, Aya Gold & Silver at $100/oz silver could trade between $37–$79/share , and at $150/oz silver between $62–$128/share , under 10–20× FCF multiples.