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Spotify Technology S.A.

NYSE:SPOT Stok Raporu

Piyasa değeri: US$108.1b

  • Şirkete Genel Bakış
  • Değerleme
  • Gelecekteki Büyüme
  • Geçmiş Performans
  • Finansal Sağlık
  • Temettü
  • Yönetim
  • Sahiplik
  • Diğer Bilgiler
  • Hisse Senedi Topluluğu

Spotify Technology Gelecekteki Büyüme

Future kriter kontrolleri 2/6

Spotify Technology kazanç ve gelirin sırasıyla yıllık 10.5% ve 11.9% oranında artacağı tahmin edilmektedir. EPS'nin yıllık 10.2% oranında büyümesi beklenmektedir. Özkaynak kârlılığının 3 yıl içinde 23.3% olacağı tahmin edilmektedir.

Anahtar bilgiler

10.5%

Kazanç büyüme oranı

10.20%

EPS büyüme oranı

Entertainment kazanç büyümesi23.7%
Gelir büyüme oranı11.9%
Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi23.30%
Analist kapsamı

Good

Son güncelleme11 Sep 2026

Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri

Analiz Makalesi • Nov 07

Spotify Technology S.A. Just Recorded A 63% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Last week, you might have seen that Spotify Technology S.A. ( NYSE:SPOT ) released its quarterly result to the market...

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 10

Spotify Still Looks Like A Hold Despite Better Fundamentals

Summary Spotify has shifted focus from pure growth to disciplined profitability, with Q2 2026 gross margin at 33.4% and strong free cash flow. SPOT’s monetization is expanding via higher ARPU, Audiobooks+ add-ons, and a revamped, more automated ad business supporting double-digit ad growth targets. Management maintains mid-teen revenue growth and 35–40% gross margin targets, with operating margin aimed above 20% by 2030 and a robust €9.4B net cash position. Despite operational improvements, SPOT’s premium valuation and visible risks justify a Hold rating, as most upside appears priced in and cost risks remain material. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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Anlatı Güncellemesi • Aug 14

SPOT: AI Monetization Tests And Mixed Outlook Will Shape Balanced Risk Profile

Analysts have slightly lifted the blended price target for Spotify Technology to $485.49, with recent research pointing to mixed Q3 expectations, refreshed Q2 models, and ongoing debate about how new AI driven features and pricing tests might influence growth, margins, and valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify Technology shows a wide range of price targets and ratings, with opinions splitting around how much value to assign to the company’s AI roadmap, pricing experiments, and long term margin goals.
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Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jul 31

SPOT: AI Roadmap And Premium Add Ons Will Support Future Margins

Spotify Technology's updated analyst price target framework points to a modest fair value adjustment to about $606 per share. Analysts cite steady execution on growth and margins, an expanded AI driven product roadmap, and new premium offerings that refine assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels.
User avatar
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 30

SPOT: AI Licensing And Premium Add Ons Will Drive Future Margins

Spotify Technology's analyst price target has been raised by roughly $80 to the mid $500s, as analysts point to the company's AI-driven product roadmap, new monetization tools, and long-term financial targets highlighted at its recent investor day. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Spotify Technology centers on how its AI product roadmap, new premium tiers, and licensing deals could influence long-term growth, execution, and valuation.
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Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 16

SPOT: AI Personalization And Pricing Tests Will Shape Balanced Risk Profile

Analyst price targets for Spotify have shifted higher by roughly $50 to $150, into a $520 to $650 range, as analysts react to the investor day focus on AI driven personalization, new premium tiers, and licensing deals with Universal Music Group and Live Nation that are seen as supportive of engagement, monetization, and the updated profit margin and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a wide spread of views on Spotify, with several firms lifting price targets into a higher range following the investor day, while others remain more cautious on how the story plays out in practice.
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Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 01

SPOT: AI Partnerships And Premium Add Ons Will Drive Future Margin Expansion

Analysts trimmed the fair value estimate for Spotify to $734 from $787, even as many raised price targets into the $520 to $650 range. This reflects enthusiasm around the company's AI driven product roadmap, new Universal Music Group partnerships, and perceived visibility into mid term growth and monetization.
User avatar
Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 13

SPOT: Price Increases And AI Investments Will Support Future Margin Expansion

Spotify Technology's updated analyst price target has moved lower to reflect a fair value estimate now around $590, as analysts factor in slightly higher revenue growth assumptions along with more conservative long term profit margins and a reduced future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify Technology reflects a mix of optimism on execution and margins, alongside more cautious views on valuation and future growth assumptions.
User avatar
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 29

SPOT: Future Margin Expansion Will Rely On Recurring Price Hikes

Analysts trimmed Spotify Technology's fair value estimate slightly to $786.63. This reflects lower price targets across several firms, balanced by views that improved profit margins and an updated future P/E assumption still support the long-term case.
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Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 15

SPOT: 2026 Price Hikes And AI Features Will Support Margins

The analyst price target for Spotify has edged slightly lower by about $2 to reflect a modestly higher discount rate and slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, even as analysts continue to highlight potential support from improving profit margins and product investments, including AI features. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify reflects a mixed but engaged view, with analysts actively revisiting ratings and price targets as they reassess AI risk, margin trajectory, and the pace of price changes.
User avatar
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 31

SPOT: Recurring Price Increases Will Support Future Margin Expansion Potential

Analysts have nudged their price target framework for Spotify higher to $784.59 from $767.84, reflecting slightly firmer assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E in light of a mix of supportive rating actions, incremental price hike expectations, and ongoing debate over AI related risks. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify centers on two themes you should keep in mind: pricing power in Premium subscriptions and how much AI changes the risk profile for the business.
User avatar
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 17

SPOT: Recurring Price Hikes And Firmer Margins Will Support Revaluation Potential

Spotify's analyst fair value estimate has been adjusted from $889.24 to $767.84 as analysts factor in slightly higher discount rates and a lower future P/E, partly offset by firmer margin expectations and views that AI related risks to the platform and its pricing power are limited. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify highlights a split view on AI risk and pricing power, but there is a clear cluster of bullish analysts who still see upside in the story despite a period of target cuts across the Street.
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Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 03

SPOT: 2026 Price Hikes Will Support Margins Despite AI Concerns

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target on Spotify to $649 from $662. This reflects a modest increase in the discount rate and slightly lower assumptions for revenue growth and future P/E.
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Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 17

SPOT: 2026 U.S. Price Hike Will Offset Rising AI Subscription Risk

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Spotify, reflected in a lower fair value estimate of $662.14 from $733.44, as they factor in higher perceived AI related risk to paid streaming, modestly softer growth assumptions, a richer discount rate, and a more conservative future P/E multiple, despite higher projected profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify Technology points to a mixed but highly engaged analyst backdrop, with multiple firms revisiting their models around AI risk, pricing, and execution on product initiatives.
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Yeni Anlatı • Feb 13

Spotify - A Fundamental and Historical Valuation

️Business Overview Key Metrics Total: -1/17 +1 ✅ Projected Operating Margin: 17.56% +1 ✅ Projected 5-Year Revenue CAGR: 10.87% +0 ⚠️ Last 5-Year ROIC: 4.68% -2 ❌ Estimated Cost of Capital: 7.71% (greater than ROIC) -1 ❌ Last 5-Year Shares Outstanding CAGR: +2.07% +1 ✅ Projected 5-Year EPS CAGR: 15.46% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Dividend CAGR: N/A +1 ✅ Estimated Debt Rating: A1 -1 ❌ Morningstar Moat: Narrow -1 ❌ Morningstar Uncertainty: High Despite its Narrow Moat rating by Morningstar, Spotify still shows an operating margin around ~15-20% and expanding. Its revenue and EPS growth is also solid between 10-15%.
Analiz Makalesi • Feb 05

Spotify Technology S.A.'s (NYSE:SPOT) 26% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Earnings

The Spotify Technology S.A. ( NYSE:SPOT ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a...
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Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 03

SPOT: Free Tier Funnel And 2026 U.S. Price Hike Will Support Leadership

Analysts have trimmed their blended price target for Spotify, with our fair value estimate easing from US$748.60 to about US$733.44. This reflects slightly lower assumed future P/E multiples, which more than offset modestly higher long term revenue growth and profit margin expectations following a wave of recent target cuts and rating changes across the Street.
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Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 20

SPOT: Future Price Increases And Margin Goals Will Drive Rerating Potential

Analysts have trimmed their Spotify Technology price targets, with our fair value estimate moving from US$913.70 to US$889.24. They are factoring in slightly softer margin assumptions, modestly lower growth estimates, and a higher future P/E, while still referencing potential benefits from pricing changes and longer term margin goals.
User avatar
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 06

SPOT: Pricing Power And AI Collaboration Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward Outlook

Analysts have nudged their price targets for Spotify higher, citing a supportive mix of pricing power, a constructive view on music industry economics, and a willingness to underwrite a richer future P/E multiple of around 38.7x. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify reflects a mix of enthusiasm for the business model and pricing potential alongside debate over how much optimism is already reflected in the share price.
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Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 14

SPOT: Pricing Power And AI Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward Outlook

Our fair value estimate for Spotify Technology has been raised by about $37 to roughly $569 per share, as analysts grow more confident in accelerating revenue growth, expanding profit margins, and the earnings power implied by recent price target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Spotify highlights a mix of optimism around pricing power, product innovation, and artificial intelligence, alongside a more measured tone on valuation and execution risk.
User avatar
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 18

SPOT: User Gains From Free Tier Funnel Will Drive Competitive Leadership

Spotify’s analyst price target has been modestly increased from approximately $736 to $749, as analysts point to rising expectations for revenue growth and margin expansion. This outlook is fueled by upcoming price increases and ongoing product enhancements.
Analiz Makalesi • Nov 11

We Think Spotify Technology's (NYSE:SPOT) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve

Even though Spotify Technology S.A. ( NYSE:SPOT ) posted strong earnings, investors appeared to be underwhelmed. We...
Analiz Makalesi • Nov 07

Spotify Technology S.A. Just Recorded A 63% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Last week, you might have seen that Spotify Technology S.A. ( NYSE:SPOT ) released its quarterly result to the market...
User avatar
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 01

SPOT: Upcoming Price Increases And Product Changes Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Spotify Technology by approximately $10 to $736. They cite a balanced outlook in light of evolving industry pricing opportunities and the company's recent financial performance trends.
User avatar
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Oct 17

Generative AI And Personalization Will Shape Future Entertainment

Spotify’s consensus analyst price target has been adjusted slightly lower, from $747.78 to $746.42. This change reflects updated expectations around revenue growth and profit margins as analysts weigh recent price increases, user engagement momentum, and the outlook for cost management.
User avatar
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Oct 03

Generative AI And Personalization Will Shape Future Entertainment

Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Spotify Technology, adjusting the price target from $756 to $748. More balanced risk-reward expectations and moderated growth outlooks for key metrics offset recent model updates and price increases.
User avatar
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Sep 17

Generative AI And Personalization Will Shape Future Entertainment

Analysts have raised Spotify’s price targets, citing robust subscriber growth, improved product differentiation and engagement, and greater pricing power despite near-term cost headwinds, leading to a consensus Analyst Price Target increase from $739.83 to $756.18. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are raising price targets on expectations of continued price increases in key markets and further upward revisions to long-term revenue and profit estimates.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 16

Spotify Is Executing Brilliantly, But The Stock Isn't A Buy Anymore (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Spotify's stock has surged 85.1% since my initial “cautious buy” rating, driven by better-than-expected company improvements and strong execution. Despite impressive growth, the reduced margin of safety now requires greater optimism for a favorable valuation, prompting a downgrade to “cautious hold”. Spotify has achieved significant milestones, including a +30% gross margin and +670 million MAUs, through strategic initiatives and cost management. Risks remain, such as dependency on record labels and increasing competition, making long-term growth visibility less clear and necessitating cautious optimism. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 14

Spotify: The Road Ahead Is Tough, But It Is Positioned Well

Summary Spotify continues to lead in music streaming with strong growth, innovative features, and a dominant market position, despite recent stock price declines. The company achieved record Q4 results and profitability in 2024, but faces challenges in further margin expansion and increased competition from YouTube. Future success hinges on maintaining efficiency, better monetizing emerging markets users, and significantly improving ads and video capabilities. Considering the challenges ahead, Spotify's Valuation is a bit too high at 46 times forward earnings, making it a 'Hold'. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 14

Spotify: Just Getting Started

Summary The monetization process is just getting started. Spotify may have multiple years of high earnings growth and increasing FCF. Growing premium subscribers with higher ARPU is the main earnings driver, boosting EBITDA and free cash flow and enhancing shareholder value. Spotify is beginning to gain pricing power from music labels that adds upside risk to its monetization story. The stock's valuation is transitioning to higher EPS-based multiples, I target a price of $770 by YE26. Competition from Amazon and Apple poses a risk, but Spotify's monetization strategy and profitability shift support a continued buy rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 05

Spotify Q4: Profitability Is Only Getting Better

Summary Spotify released its Q4 earnings on 2/4, impressing the market. This was mostly off the back of growing premium subscribers from Q4 2024, and continued growth into Q1 2025. MAUs are up, revenue is up, and expenses are down; Spotify is in a great position and has finally turned a profit for a full year. Compound this with its high valuation, and you have a set-up for success or failure depending on future earnings and if growth can maintain its trajectory. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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Yeni Anlatı • Feb 05

Narrative update from Michael Paige

Retain Dominant Market Share Position In Paid Music StreamingThis assumptions appears to be tracking well and ahead of my conservative estimates. I estimated 8% growth per year in MAU and premium subs
Seeking Alpha • Jan 22

Spotify Q4 Preview: Changing Creator Incentives

Summary Spotify's shares have surged 31.99% since October, driven by AI optimization and enhanced user experiences, boosting demand and premium subscriptions. The new creator incentive program, offering 50% ad revenue share, is a game changer, attracting more high-quality content to Spotify. Despite market pessimism, I believe Spotify's Q4 earnings will exceed expectations due to these creator innovations and strong user engagement metrics. SPOT's strong free cash flow growth and competitive creator incentives position it for significant upside, making it a strong buy heading into Q4 earnings. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 15

Spotify: The Operational Leverage Run Is Close To Being Over, What's Next?

Summary Spotify emerged stronger from the 2022 market selloff, with its stock up over 6x since December 2022 due to margin expansion and consistent growth. Key growth drivers included aggressive cost-cutting, gaining leverage over music labels, and diversifying into podcasts and audiobooks. Future growth will depend on emerging markets and advertising, though these come with lower ARPU and more uncertainty. Spotify's operational leverage has limits, and the company faces challenges in maintaining the margin expansion story while making strides into video and competing with YouTube. The current valuation and consensus estimates don't reflect the higher uncertainty, leading to a 'Hold' rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 15

Spotify: My Top Investment Pick For 2025

Summary I recommend a "Strong Buy" for Spotify as I highlight robust growth, pricing power, and profitability improvements. Spotify's Q3 results were stellar, with gross margins at 31.1%, revenue up 19% YoY, and free cash flow soaring 230% to $711 million. The platform's scalable, low-cost model, AI-driven personalization, and new subscription tiers ensure sustained growth and high margins without significant overhead. Looking ahead, Spotify's video podcast push, new "Superfan" tier, and enhanced ad tools will drive further revenue and margin gains, with analysts projecting €3.6 billion in FCF by 2026. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 08

From $15 Billion To $100 Billion: Lessons From Our Spotify Investment

Summary Spotify's stock surged from $132 to $500 per share since its 2018 IPO, delivering a 23% annualized return over 6.5 years. Despite past doubts about its profitability, Spotify's recent improvements in gross margins and cost discipline have renewed optimism in its long-term potential. The company's strategic shift towards advertising and price increases has driven revenue growth and positioned it for future profitability. Adopting a principle of letting winners naturally concentrate in the portfolio has proven effective, with Spotify now representing 15% of our holdings. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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Yeni Anlatı • Nov 24

Expanding Audiobook Offerings And AI Innovation Propel Dynamic Growth Trajectory

Expansion into audiobooks and AI-enhanced music discovery are set to boost user engagement and revenue growth.

Kazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri

NYSE:SPOT - Analistlerin gelecek tahminleri ve geçmiş finansal verileri (EUR Millions )
TarihGelirKazançlarSerbest Nakit AkışıFaaliyetlerden NakitAvg. Analist Sayısı
12/31/202825,3994,0344,7204,95526
12/31/202722,3323,2364,0744,07336
12/31/202619,5392,5583,3763,37834
6/30/202618,1133,3393,2673,337N/A
3/31/202617,5292,7083,1703,230N/A
12/31/202517,1862,2122,8722,933N/A
9/30/202516,8971,4052,9152,960N/A
6/30/202516,6138062,8202,846N/A
3/31/202516,2271,1662,6112,629N/A
12/31/202415,6731,1382,2842,301N/A
9/30/202415,1027011,8031,815N/A
6/30/202414,4714661,3021,311N/A
3/31/202413,841-110823832N/A
12/31/202313,247-532674680N/A
9/30/202312,742-732203213N/A
6/30/202312,421-9632842N/A
3/31/202312,108-7865168N/A
12/31/202211,727-4302146N/A
9/30/202211,250-199199235N/A
6/30/202210,715-31262318N/A
3/31/202210,18274262333N/A
12/31/20219,668-34276361N/A
9/30/20219,147-120245349N/A
6/30/20218,621-223252348N/A
3/31/20218,179-559243333N/A
12/31/20207,880-581181259N/A
9/30/20207,567-665280355N/A
6/30/20207,323-323220304N/A
3/31/20207,101-43N/A355N/A
12/31/20196,764-186N/A573N/A
9/30/20196,404465N/A520N/A
6/30/20196,025267N/A529N/A
3/31/20195,631-51N/A469N/A
12/31/20185,259-78N/A344N/A
9/30/20184,913-1,116N/A289N/A
6/30/20184,593-1,437N/A128N/A
3/31/20184,327-1,231N/A170N/A
12/31/20174,090-1,235N/A179N/A
12/31/20162,952-539N/A101N/A
1/1/20161,940-230N/A-38N/A

Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri

Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: SPOT 'nin tahmini kazanç büyümesi (yıllık 10.5% ) tasarruf oranının ( 3.7% ) üzerindedir.

Kazançlar ve Piyasa: SPOT şirketinin kazançlarının (yıllık 10.5% ) US pazarından (yıllık 17.2% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: SPOT şirketinin kazançlarının artması bekleniyor, ancak önemli ölçüde.

Gelir ve Pazar: SPOT şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 11.9% ) US pazarından (yıllık 13.4% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: SPOT şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 11.9% ) yıllık 20% oranından daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.


Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri


Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi

Gelecekteki ROE: SPOT 'in Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde yüksek olması tahmin ediliyor ( 23.3 %)


Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu

VeriSon Güncelleme (UTC saati)
Şirket Analizi2026/09/13 02:42
Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı2026/09/11 00:00
Kazançlar2026/06/30
Yıllık Kazançlar2025/12/31

Veri Kaynakları

Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.

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Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri+3 yıl
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Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.

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Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan hakkında bilgi edinin.

Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri

Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.

Analist Kaynakları

Spotify Technology S.A. 64 Bu analistlerden 36, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.

AnalistKurum
Samuel LourenszArete Research Services LLP
Richard KramerArete Research Services LLP
William Noel MilnerArete Research Services LLP

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