Goosehead Insurance, Inc.

NasdaqGS:GSHD Stok Raporu

Piyasa değeri: US$1.5b

Goosehead Insurance Gelecekteki Büyüme

Future kriter kontrolleri 5/6

Goosehead Insurance kazanç ve gelirin sırasıyla yıllık 21.7% ve 15% oranında artacağı tahmin edilmektedir. EPS'nin yıllık 27.7% oranında büyümesi beklenmektedir. Özkaynak kârlılığının 3 yıl içinde 1978.1% olacağı tahmin edilmektedir.

Anahtar bilgiler

21.7%

Kazanç büyüme oranı

27.66%

EPS büyüme oranı

Insurance kazanç büyümesi2.0%
Gelir büyüme oranı15.0%
Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi1,978.11%
Analist kapsamı

Good

Son güncelleme19 May 2026

Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri

Recent updates

Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 21

GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Long Term Earnings Resilience

Analysts have trimmed the updated fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance to about $98 from roughly $119, reflecting lower price targets across several firms as they factor in a slightly higher discount rate, somewhat softer projected revenue growth and profit margins, and a more conservative future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Goosehead Insurance has been active, with several firms adjusting price targets and updating views following the latest earnings and AI related debates around the business model.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 01

GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Returns As AI Fears Ease

Analysts have increased the fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance by $1 to $67.58, reflecting a balance of lower projected revenue growth, slightly higher profit margins, and a reduced future P/E assumption in light of recent price target resets and ongoing debate around AI related risks and growth headwinds. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Goosehead Insurance reflects a mix of optimism on long term growth potential and caution around execution risks, valuation, and the impact of AI related disruption on the insurance distribution model.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 24

Goosehead Insurance: Secular Pressures Merit Caution

Summary Goosehead Insurance delivered strong Q1 results, with revenue up 23% and adjusted EBITDA up 57%, yet faces secular headwinds. AI-driven disintermediation and persistently weak customer retention (85%) pose significant long-term risks to GSHD’s agency model. NPS deterioration from 87 to 72 and slow retention improvement highlight potential service and satisfaction issues amid ongoing automation. I recommend a 'sell' rating on GSHD, citing secular pressures, AI risk, and an unattractive 23x earnings multiple despite recent operational gains. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 15

GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Returns Despite AI Concerns

Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Goosehead Insurance, with the fair value estimate moving from about $73.00 to roughly $66.58. They are factoring in lower price targets across the Street and a reduced future P/E assumption tied to concerns about growth headwinds and potential AI-related risks.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 01

GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Offset AI Disruption Concerns

Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance by about $3.70 to $73.00 as they factor in softer projected growth, slightly lower margins and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple. They still see AI related disruption risks as more limited than some headlines suggest.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 17

GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power

Analysts have lowered the fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance by about $14.82 to $76.73 as they factor in revised price targets, modestly higher discount rates, slightly softer margin expectations, and updated views on growth resilience and AI related risks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a mixed but engaged analyst view on Goosehead Insurance, with several firms trimming price targets while maintaining generally constructive ratings.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 03

GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Long Term Earnings Power

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Goosehead Insurance by about $21 to $118.94. This reflects refreshed assumptions around growth, profitability, and valuation multiples following recent research updates that highlight both AI-related competitive questions and ongoing expectations for solid organic expansion.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 17

GSHD: Refined Assumptions And Franchise Expansion Will Support Long Term Earnings Power

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Goosehead Insurance by $14, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Even with the $14 reduction to the price target, bullish analysts see the revised figure as consistent with a constructive view on Goosehead Insurance, with the change described more as a recalibration of assumptions than a shift in overall stance.
Analiz Makalesi • Feb 11

The Price Is Right For Goosehead Insurance, Inc. (NASDAQ:GSHD) Even After Diving 33%

The Goosehead Insurance, Inc. ( NASDAQ:GSHD ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a...
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 03

GSHD: Reset Expectations And Consistent Execution Will Support Long Term Earnings Power

Analysts have lowered their price target on Goosehead Insurance by $14, reflecting updated views on the company’s growth, margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are treating the lower price target as a reset rather than a loss of confidence, with recent commentary focusing on how updated growth and margin assumptions feed into new P/E expectations.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 20

GSHD: Higher Investment Spend And Buybacks Will Support Long Term Earnings Power

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance to $140 from $150, citing lower price targets, trimmed long term growth and margin expectations, and higher assumed discount rates following recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Goosehead Insurance highlights a more cautious stance on near term earnings and investment spending, but there are still several points that more optimistic voices are watching closely.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 05

GSHD: Increased Investment Spending Will Drive Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power

Analysts have modestly reduced their price targets on Goosehead Insurance, trimming expectations by roughly $10 to $15 per share as they factor in higher investment spending, softer renewal commission retention, and near term margin pressure, while maintaining unchanged long term growth and profitability assumptions. Analyst Commentary Street research reflects a more balanced stance on Goosehead Insurance, with modestly lower price targets but generally constructive long term views on growth and execution.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 21

GSHD: Incremental Investment Spending Will Set Up Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power

Analysts have modestly raised their fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance to approximately $91.55 from about $90.82. This reflects expectations for slightly faster top line growth, offset by near term margin pressure and elevated investment spending that has led to a series of reduced but still generally constructive price targets across the Street.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 07

GSHD: Increased Investment And Buybacks Will Support Long-Term Earnings Power

Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on Goosehead Insurance, as slightly lower projected revenue growth and margins, along with increased investment spending and softer renewal commission retention, have led to a trimmed fair value estimate from about $93.70 to roughly $90.82 per share. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a mixed but generally constructive stance on Goosehead Insurance, with valuation adjustments driven more by updated assumptions on growth, retention, and spending than by a fundamental change in the long term narrative.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 22

GSHD: New Investment Spend Will Support Long-Term Earnings Stability

Analysts have lowered price targets for Goosehead Insurance, citing incremental expenses from new investments and softer commission retention. Recent target cuts have ranged from a reduction of $10 to $23 per share.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 06

GSHD: Market Share Expansion Will Support Resilient Performance Amid Sector Headwinds

Goosehead Insurance's fair value estimate has been revised downward to $93.70 from $98.10. Analysts cite lower renewal commission retention, increased investment-related expenses, and reduced revenue growth and profit margin projections following recent price target cuts.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Oct 22

Analysts Offer Mixed Outlook on Goosehead Insurance Amid Modest Growth and Valuation Adjustments

Analysts have modestly reduced their price targets for Goosehead Insurance, citing slightly softer expectations for growth and profitability. Targets have dropped by as much as $10 to $150 and $5 to $85, reflecting concerns about slower sales growth and a more competitive pricing environment in the sector.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Oct 08

AI And Digital Platforms Will Fuel Insurance Excellence

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance from $109.70 to $101.30. They cite softer forecasts for new sales growth and commission retention expectations, despite improvements in profit margin and future earnings projections.
Analiz Makalesi • Jul 08

Goosehead Insurance, Inc's (NASDAQ:GSHD) Price In Tune With Revenues

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Insurance industry in the United States have price-to-sales...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 28

Goosehead Insurance: Balancing Franchise Reacceleration, Mixed Industry Outlook

Summary Goosehead Insurance's franchise health. The franchise size is nearing stabilization and reacceleration, and productivity has rapidly increased. The outlook for personal line insurers remains uncertain. Auto insurance profitability is expected to remain subdued for 2025, and home sales have remained pressured. I estimate GSHD to have a fair value of roughly $86.5. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analiz Makalesi • Feb 02

Here's Why Goosehead Insurance (NASDAQ:GSHD) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
Analiz Makalesi • Nov 12

Revenues Tell The Story For Goosehead Insurance, Inc (NASDAQ:GSHD) As Its Stock Soars 31%

Goosehead Insurance, Inc ( NASDAQ:GSHD ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month...
Analiz Makalesi • Oct 24

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Goosehead Insurance (NASDAQ:GSHD) Passed With Ease

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
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Yeni Anlatı • Sep 24

Leveraging Technology And Expansion To Surge In The Personal Insurance Market

Goosehead Insurance's focus on technology-enhanced productivity and strategic workforce expansion signals strong potential for accelerated revenue growth.
Analiz Makalesi • Jul 26

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Goosehead Insurance, Inc's (NASDAQ:GSHD) 53% Share Price Surge

The Goosehead Insurance, Inc ( NASDAQ:GSHD ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent...
Analiz Makalesi • Jul 24

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Goosehead Insurance (NASDAQ:GSHD) Presents An Opportunity

The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...
Analiz Makalesi • Apr 28

Getting In Cheap On Goosehead Insurance, Inc (NASDAQ:GSHD) Might Be Difficult

Goosehead Insurance, Inc's ( NASDAQ:GSHD ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.3x may look like a poor investment...

Kazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri

NasdaqGS:GSHD - Analistlerin gelecek tahminleri ve geçmiş finansal verileri (USD Millions )
TarihGelirKazançlarSerbest Nakit AkışıFaaliyetlerden NakitAvg. Analist Sayısı
12/31/202859453861343
12/31/2027491488012111
12/31/2026420376210011
3/31/2026382307199N/A
12/31/2025365286892N/A
9/30/2025353306381N/A
6/30/2025341307085N/A
3/31/2025325316275N/A
12/31/2024314305972N/A
9/30/2024283195973N/A
6/30/2024275195266N/A
3/31/2024266164464N/A
12/31/2023260143251N/A
9/30/2023254113040N/A
6/30/202324162542N/A
3/31/202322532740N/A
12/31/202220812336N/A
9/30/202219102042N/A
6/30/202217521326N/A
3/31/20221604722N/A
12/31/202115052035N/A
9/30/202114582136N/A
6/30/202113572338N/A
3/31/202112792334N/A
12/31/202011691425N/A
9/30/20209561420N/A
6/30/20208531117N/A
3/31/20207411418N/A
12/31/2019774N/A21N/A
9/30/2019784N/A19N/A
6/30/2019734N/A14N/A
3/31/201968-6N/A10N/A
12/31/201860-9N/A10N/A
9/30/201856-9N/A9N/A
6/30/201851-9N/A13N/A
3/31/201847N/AN/A15N/A
12/31/201742N/AN/A14N/A
12/31/2016315N/A4N/A

Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri

Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: GSHD 'nin tahmini kazanç büyümesi (yıllık 21.7% ) tasarruf oranının ( 3.5% ) üzerindedir.

Kazançlar ve Piyasa: GSHD şirketinin kazançlarının (yıllık 21.7% ) US pazarından (yıllık 16.8% ) daha hızlı büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: GSHD şirketinin kazançlarının önümüzdeki 3 yıl içerisinde önemli ölçüde artması bekleniyor.

Gelir ve Pazar: GSHD şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 15% ) US pazarından (yıllık 11.7% ) daha hızlı büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: GSHD şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 15% ) yıllık 20% oranından daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri

Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi

Gelecekteki ROE: GSHD 'nin Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde çok yüksek olması tahmin ediliyor ( 1978.1 %).

Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu

VeriSon Güncelleme (UTC saati)
Şirket Analizi2026/05/22 05:27
Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı2026/05/22 00:00
Kazançlar2026/03/31
Yıllık Kazançlar2025/12/31

Veri Kaynakları

Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.

PaketVeriZaman ÇerçevesiÖrnek ABD Kaynağı *
Şirket Finansalları10 yıl
  • Gelir tablosu
  • Nakit akış tablosu
  • Bilanço
Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri+3 yıl
  • Finansal tahminler
  • Analist fiyat hedefleri
Piyasa Fiyatları30 yıl
  • Hisse senedi fiyatları
  • Temettüler, Bölünmeler ve Eylemler
Sahiplik10 yıl
  • En büyük hissedarlar
  • İçeriden öğrenenlerin ticareti
Yönetim10 yıl
  • Liderlik ekibi
  • Yönetim Kurulu
Önemli Gelişmeler10 yıl
  • Şirket duyuruları

* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.

Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.

Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi

Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntılarına GitHub sayfamızdan ulaşabilirsiniz, ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınızı anlatan kılavuzlarımız ve Youtube'da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.

Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.

Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri

Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.

Analist Kaynakları

Goosehead Insurance, Inc. 15 Bu analistlerden 11, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.

AnalistKurum
Michael ZaremskiBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Joshua ShankerBofA Global Research
Ryan TunisCantor Fitzgerald & Co.