Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

NYSE:CMG Stok Raporu

Piyasa değeri: US$37.5b

Chipotle Mexican Grill Geçmiş Kazanç Performansı

Geçmiş kriter kontrolleri 3/6

Chipotle Mexican Grill yıllık ortalama 21.4% oranında kazançlarını artırırken, Hospitality sektöründe kazançlar growing at 30.3% annual. Gelirler growing yılda ortalama 12.3% oranında artmaktadır. Chipotle Mexican Grill'in özkaynak karlılığı 60.3% ve net marjı 12%'dir.

Anahtar bilgiler

21.37%

Kazanç büyüme oranı

22.33%

EPS büyüme oranı

Hospitality Sektör Büyümesi19.52%
Gelir büyüme oranı12.29%
Özkaynak getirisi60.31%
Net Marj11.96%
Sonraki Kazanç Güncellemesi29 Jul 2026

Yakın geçmiş performans güncellemeleri

Recent updates

Anlatı Güncellemesi Jun 06

CMG: 2026 International Expansion Plans Will Support Higher P E Multiple

Analysts have trimmed the Chipotle Mexican Grill fair value estimate by about $0.52 to $42.88, reflecting a mix of lower average price targets and a slightly higher discount rate, even as revenue growth expectations and future P/E assumptions remain broadly steady across recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Chipotle Mexican Grill highlights a split between analysts who see current levels as an opportunity and those who are more cautious on the company’s execution and growth trajectory.
Seeking Alpha Jun 04

Chipotle: The Trough Is Not The Trend

Summary Chipotle Mexican Grill is rated Buy, with the market undervaluing its recovery potential at ~$28/share versus a DCF-derived intrinsic value of $40.48. I see current headwinds as cyclical, not structural, with operational catalysts—HEAP equipment rollout and loyalty program enhancements—already visible and measurable. CMG’s unique company-owned, non-franchise model amplifies both downside volatility and upside leverage in recoveries, directly benefiting shareholders. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Anlatı Güncellemesi May 15

CMG: 2026 Menu And Unit Expansion Plans Will Support Higher P E Multiple

Chipotle Mexican Grill's analyst price target has been adjusted slightly lower to reflect an updated fair value of about $43.40. Analysts cite modest tweaks to discount rate assumptions, slightly softer revenue growth expectations, a small improvement in profit margin, and a lower future P/E multiple, informed by a mix of recent target cuts and upgrades across the Street.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Apr 26

CMG: 2026 Menu Initiatives Are Expected To Support Higher P E Multiple

Chipotle Mexican Grill's updated analyst price target reflects a modest trim of fair value to $43.66, with analysts broadly fine-tuning their models as they weigh slightly higher discount rates, adjusted long term P/E assumptions, and a recent wave of small downward target revisions across major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Chipotle Mexican Grill points to a period of recalibration, with many firms trimming price targets by small increments and a few highlighting more constructive long term views.
Yeni Anlatı Apr 21

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Reports Resilient FY 2025 Earnings Despite Margin Pressures and Heavy Capital Returns

Analyst: Qudus Adebara (Founder of Wane Investment House) Executive Summary Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. delivered a solid financial performance for the year ended December 31, 2025, with total revenue rising to $11.93 billion, reflecting +5.4% YoY growth driven primarily by strong food and beverage sales.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Apr 11

CMG: 2026 Sales Initiatives And Buybacks Will Support Higher P E Multiple

Analysts trimmed their Chipotle Mexican Grill price target by about $0.50 to reflect slightly lower fair value, a modestly higher discount rate, and marginally softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, partly offset by a higher future P/E multiple supported by recent mixed but generally constructive research commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Chipotle Mexican Grill reflects a mix of cautious fine tuning on price targets and supportive views on the business model, management, and long term growth potential.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Mar 27

CMG: 2026 Sales Initiatives And Buybacks Will Sustain Elevated P E Multiple

The analyst price target for Chipotle Mexican Grill has been trimmed by about $0.07 to reflect slightly lower modeled fair value, even as analysts highlight modest improvements in revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and a still elevated future P/E, informed by a mix of recent target cuts, fresh Buy initiations, and sector-wide re-rating work for 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Chipotle Mexican Grill reflects an active debate around how much investors should pay for the company given mixed sector trends, shifting consumer behavior, and company specific execution questions.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Mar 13

CMG: 2026 Sales Initiatives And Buybacks Will Support Multiple Expansion

Analysts made a small upward adjustment to their Chipotle price target, moving it by about $0.33, as they weighed newly bullish views tied to potential sales drivers and multiple expansion against a recent wave of modest target trims from other firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Chipotle shows a split view, with some firms highlighting long term growth drivers and others focusing on consumer headwinds and execution risk.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Feb 26

CMG: 2026 Marketing Firepower And Buybacks Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have made a small upward adjustment to their Chipotle price target to about $44. This reflects slightly lower assumed discount rates and a modestly higher future P/E multiple, along with fine-tuned revenue growth and margin expectations.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Feb 09

CMG: 2026 Unit Expansion And Share Repurchases Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts now see slightly lower upside for Chipotle, trimming the price target in line with a modest reduction in fair value to about $44.24 per share after reassessing the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Chipotle Mexican Grill has become more finely balanced, with several small downward price target revisions offset by a cluster of earlier target increases and a few rating changes.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Jan 25

CMG: 2026 Traffic Recovery And Unit Expansion Will Drive Balanced Risk Reward

Analysts have nudged their Chipotle Mexican Grill fair value estimate higher to about $45 per share from roughly $44, citing a slightly lower discount rate, modest tweaks to long term revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a marginally higher future P/E multiple that reflect recent shifts in Street price targets and mixed but engaged research coverage. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed picture for Chipotle Mexican Grill, with price targets moving in both directions and opinions divided on how quickly the company can work through current traffic and macro pressures.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Jan 11

CMG: 2026 Unit Expansion And Traffic Recovery Efforts Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have lifted the Chipotle Mexican Grill fair value estimate slightly, with the price target moving from US$43.18 to US$44.12. This reflects modest tweaks to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions after a mix of target cuts on macro and traffic headwinds, as well as fresh target hikes tied to updated 2026 restaurant sector outlooks.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Dec 18

CMG: 2026 Unit Expansion Will Drive Long Term Upside Despite Near Term Traffic Headwinds

Analysts have modestly reduced their average price target for Chipotle Mexican Grill by about $10 per share to the mid $40s, citing weaker than expected Q3 traffic and comp trends, macro driven consumer softness, and lowered same store sales guidance, even as they highlight longer term benefits from menu innovation, value focused marketing, and continued unit growth. Analyst Commentary Analysts broadly agree that Chipotle is navigating a tougher operating backdrop, but they differ on how quickly the brand can reaccelerate traffic and comps and how much of the long term growth story remains intact at current valuation levels.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Dec 04

CMG: Robust 2026 Unit Expansion Is Expected To Drive Long Term Upside

The Analyst Price Target for Chipotle Mexican Grill has been cut meaningfully, with analysts trimming expectations by roughly $10 per share as persistent macro headwinds, softer traffic, and repeated same store sales guidance cuts temper the near term outlook, despite confidence in the longer term unit growth story. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary reflects a more cautious stance on Chipotle in the near term, with widespread price target reductions but a generally constructive view on the multiyear unit growth and margin opportunity.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Nov 20

CMG: Robust Unit Expansion Plans Will Lead to Improved Performance

Analysts have lowered their average price target for Chipotle Mexican Grill, cutting it from approximately $45.09 to $43.18 per share. Ongoing macroeconomic pressures and softer same-store sales trends continue to weigh on the company's near-term outlook.
Analiz Makalesi Nov 07

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) Stocks Pounded By 25% But Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing

The Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. ( NYSE:CMG ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a...
Anlatı Güncellemesi Nov 01

CMG: Share Repurchases And Menu Revamps Will Drive Stronger Performance Ahead

Chipotle Mexican Grill's analyst price target has been lowered significantly, dropping from approximately $54 to about $45. Analysts cite ongoing traffic challenges, softer same-store sales growth, and mounting macroeconomic headwinds following disappointing third-quarter results.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Oct 18

Restaurant Expansion In Mexico And Europe Will Boost Performance

Chipotle Mexican Grill's analyst price target has been reduced from approximately $56.94 to $54.15. Analysts cite near-term industry headwinds, including choppy demand, softer sales trends, and cautious sector outlooks as factors driving the adjustment.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Oct 04

Restaurant Expansion In Mexico And Europe Will Boost Performance

Analysts have lowered their price target for Chipotle Mexican Grill to approximately $56.94 from about $57.75. This modest reduction reflects tempered revenue growth expectations, despite recent performance improvements and ongoing industry challenges.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Sep 10

Restaurant Expansion In Mexico And Europe Will Boost Performance

Analysts modestly lowered Chipotle's consensus price target to $57.75, citing disappointing Q2 results, macro headwinds, and heightened competitive pressures, though some remain constructive on resilient demand, recent menu innovation, and the company's long-term growth outlook. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite improved risk/reward following a 31% YTD selloff, with expectations that market pessimism regarding same-store-sales is overly priced in.
Analiz Makalesi Aug 01

The Price Is Right For Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) Even After Diving 26%

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. ( NYSE:CMG ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period...
Analiz Makalesi Jul 26

Analysts Are Updating Their Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) Estimates After Its Second-Quarter Results

It's been a mediocre week for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. ( NYSE:CMG ) shareholders, with the stock dropping 13% to...
Analiz Makalesi Jul 14

Is Now The Time To Put Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) On Your Watchlist?

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
Seeking Alpha Apr 22

Chipotle Q1 Preview: Tariffs Hurt Them (Deep Dive)

Summary Chipotle's stock has declined around 20% over the past year, driven by decelerating same-store sales growth and increasing competition from companies like Sweetgreen and CAVA. The company's high forward P/E ratio of 37, a 173% premium to the sector median, suggests it is overpriced given its current performance and outlook. Trade war impacts, particularly on avocado imports, are expected to further strain Chipotle's margins, which are already pressured by high food and labor costs. Despite potential growth from international expansion and new technologies, these factors are unlikely to offset near-term headwinds, making Chipotle a strong sell. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 19

Chipotle: Dark Pool Buys And Long-Term Growth Make It A Buy

Summary Chipotle's dual focus on digital innovation and rapid expansion is driving significant growth, with digital sales now making up 37% of total revenue. The company's strategic initiatives, like the Chipotlane system and limited-time offerings, are boosting sales and enhancing customer loyalty. Valuation analysis using a DCF model shows a fair price per share around $51, indicating a balanced risk-reward profile with strong growth potential. Despite risks like inflation and rapid expansion costs, Chipotle's consistent revenue growth, improved margins, and solid cash flow make it a compelling long-term investment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 28

Chipotle: Rare Opportunity To Buy At A Truly Attractive Price

Summary Chipotle's stock is now a 'Buy' due to attractive valuation, strong fundamentals, and significant growth potential despite the recent CEO transition. Q4-24 results showed impressive revenue growth, strong same-store sales, and continued unit expansion, maintaining high restaurant-level profitability. Market expectations for 2025 are low, setting up the potential for multiple 'Beat & Raises'. Chipotle is nearly 20% below June 2024 highs, trading at a valuation that's historically been a very attractive entry point. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 05

Chipotle: Tariff Fears Overblown, Dips Are Tasty For Long-Term Investors

Summary Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.'s consistent sales growth and strong comparable sales, up 5.4% in Q4 and 7.4% for the year, support long-term investment. Despite short-term risks from tariffs and ingredient costs, Chipotle's strategic price increases and cost controls bolster its financial health. The company's aggressive expansion plans, including 315-345 new stores and significant share repurchases, signal confidence in sustained growth. While CMG shares are expensive, the valuation has improved, making it a potential buy for long-term investors if prices dip further into the $50s. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 21

Chipotle: It Still Has Fuel In The Tank

Summary Chipotle Mexican Grill's stock has shown strong performance since our initial bullish rating in September 2022, with an 80%+ surge, despite recent underperformance in mid-to-late 2024. The company's robust sales growth, margin expansion, and strategic price hikes indicate solid fundamentals, suggesting continued top-line growth and moderate cost increases. Our DCF model values Chipotle's stock at $68.68 per share, indicating it is undervalued by approximately 19.4%, a case supported by Chipotle's RSI. While risks exist, we remain bullish. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 20

Chipotle: In A Tough Spot As Price Hikes May Trigger Further Sales Deterioration

Summary Chipotle is a stock to sell, as the company faces tremendous operational risk following a decision to increase prices in December. CMG has already triggered customer backlash this year on rising menu prices and smaller portion sizes. Comparable sales growth trends decelerated in Q3 and were the weakest reading in four quarters, while fast-casual peers like CAVA achieved accelerating performance. The company is facing pressure from fast-food chains below the price spectrum, as McDonald's extends its $5 Meal Deal promotion to capture value-conscious consumers. Chipotle trades at a very unappetizing ~55x forward P/E ratio, which is a heady premium for a company with tepid growth prospects. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 25

It's Time To Get Mexican Food: Chipotle Is A Buy (Technical Analysis)

Summary CMG exhibits bullish price action, trading above its upward sloping 30-week EMA and breaking out of a four-month consolidation zone. Momentum indicators, both short-term and long-term, are bullish as shown by the Percentage Price Oscillator readings. Volume analysis suggests institutional accumulation, despite some bearish-looking volume bars, indicating potential undervaluation and buying at lows. Relative strength is improving, showing CMG outperforming the S&P 500 since mid-July, though it's the weakest part of the bullish thesis. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 07

Chipotle: Both The Business And The Investment Are Very Simple

Summary Chipotle's long-term growth is driven by store expansion, comparable sales growth, and operational excellence, targeting 7,000 locations and $4 million in per-restaurant sales. Despite near-term headwinds like the CEO's departure and portion size backlash, CMG's strong brand and execution ensure continued performance and resilience. Valuation suggests a 16.5% annual return over the next 7-8 years, with a 'Strong Buy' below 35x, 'Buy' at 40x, and 'Hold' above. Currently trading at 44x '25 earnings warrants a 'Hold', but the long-term trajectory remains solid with potential 20% earnings growth annually. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Gelir ve Gider Dağılımı

Chipotle Mexican Grill nasıl para kazanır ve harcar. LTM bazında en son bildirilen kazançlara dayanmaktadır.


Kazanç ve Gelir Geçmişi

NYSE:CMG Gelir, gider ve kazançlar (USD Millions )
TarihGelirKazançlarG+A GiderleriAr-Ge Giderleri
31 Mar 2612,1391,4521,0530
31 Dec 2511,9261,5361,0090
30 Sep 2511,7871,5379780
30 Jun 2511,5781,5429600
31 Mar 2511,4871,5619660
31 Dec 2411,3141,5341,0090
30 Sep 2410,9851,4849780
30 Jun 2410,6631,4101,0120
31 Mar 2410,2051,2969920
31 Dec 239,8721,2299350
30 Sep 239,5361,1708850
30 Jun 239,2841,1148650
31 Mar 238,9831,0328470
31 Dec 228,6358998450
30 Sep 228,4158098360
30 Jun 228,1477568880
31 Mar 227,8266848450
31 Dec 217,5476538500
30 Sep 217,1947108060
30 Jun 216,8435867440
31 Mar 216,3154067470
31 Dec 205,9853567050
30 Sep 205,8172376010
30 Jun 205,6192565830
31 Mar 205,6893386010
31 Dec 195,5863506220
30 Sep 195,3713105510
30 Jun 195,1932495280
31 Mar 195,0252054930
31 Dec 184,8651774690
30 Sep 184,7501884320
30 Jun 184,6531704080
31 Mar 184,5561903910
31 Dec 174,4761764150
30 Sep 174,4011483910
30 Jun 174,3101374020
31 Mar 174,139954030
31 Dec 163,904233960
30 Sep 163,867753460
30 Jun 164,0472123370
31 Mar 164,2473273360
31 Dec 154,5014763360
30 Sep 154,5745293370
30 Jun 154,4415153380

Kaliteli Kazançlar: CMG yüksek kaliteli kazançlar sağlıyor.

Büyüyen Kar Marjı: CMG 'nin mevcut net kar marjları (12%) geçen yılın (13.6%) değerinden daha düşüktür.


Serbest Nakit Akışı ve Kazanç Analizi


Geçmiş Kazanç Büyüme Analizi

Kazanç Eğilimi: CMG şirketinin kazançları son 5 yılda yılda 21.4% oranında önemli ölçüde arttı.

Büyüme Hızlandırma: CMG 'in son bir yıldır negatif kazanç büyümesi oldu, bu nedenle 5 yıllık ortalamasıyla karşılaştırılamaz.

Kazançlar vs. Sektör: CMG geçtiğimiz yıl negatif kazanç büyümesine ( -7% ) sahipti ve bu da onu Hospitality sektör ortalamasıyla ( 21.3% ) karşılaştırmayı zorlaştırıyordu.


Özkaynak Getirisi

Yüksek ROE: CMG 'nin Özsermaye Getirisi ( 60.3% ) ödenmemiş olarak değerlendirilmektedir.


Varlık Getirisi


Kullanılan Sermaye Getirisi


Geçmişte güçlü performans gösteren şirketleri keşfedin

Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu

VeriSon Güncelleme (UTC saati)
Şirket Analizi2026/06/09 15:28
Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı2026/06/09 00:00
Kazançlar2026/03/31
Yıllık Kazançlar2025/12/31

Veri Kaynakları

Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.

PaketVeriZaman ÇerçevesiÖrnek ABD Kaynağı *
Şirket Finansalları10 yıl
  • Gelir tablosu
  • Nakit akış tablosu
  • Bilanço
Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri+3 yıl
  • Finansal tahminler
  • Analist fiyat hedefleri
Piyasa Fiyatları30 yıl
  • Hisse senedi fiyatları
  • Temettüler, Bölünmeler ve Eylemler
Sahiplik10 yıl
  • En büyük hissedarlar
  • İçeriden öğrenenlerin ticareti
Yönetim10 yıl
  • Liderlik ekibi
  • Yönetim Kurulu
Önemli Gelişmeler10 yıl
  • Şirket duyuruları

* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.

Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.

Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi

Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntılarına GitHub sayfamızdan ulaşabilirsiniz, ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınızı anlatan kılavuzlarımız ve Youtube'da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.

Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.

Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri

Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.

Analist Kaynakları

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. 57 Bu analistlerden 34, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.

AnalistKurum
John StaszakArgus Research Company
David TarantinoBaird
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays