FirstGroup Gelecekteki Büyüme
Future kriter kontrolleri 0/6
FirstGroup'in gelirinin yıllık 29.6% oranında azalacağı tahmin edilirken, yıllık kazancının yıllık 1.5% oranında artması beklenmektedir. EPS'nin yılda 4.7% oranında büyümesi beklenmektedir. Özkaynak kârlılığının 3 yıl içinde 14.2% olacağı tahmin edilmektedir.
Anahtar bilgiler
1.5%
Kazanç büyüme oranı
4.68%
EPS büyüme oranı
| Transportation kazanç büyümesi | 9.8% |
| Gelir büyüme oranı | -29.6% |
| Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi | 14.19% |
| Analist kapsamı | Low |
| Son güncelleme | 18 Jun 2026 |
Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri
Recent updates
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 18
FGP: Lower Discount Rate Will Support Future Share Price Upside
Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for FirstGroup at £2.50 per share and made only marginal adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate and future P/E. This reflects fine tuning of their valuation framework rather than a change in their overall view.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 04
FGP: Higher Future P/E And Lower Discount Rate Will Support Upside
Analysts have slightly raised their price target on FirstGroup to £2.50, citing modest adjustments to the discount rate, revenue expectations, profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple as the key drivers behind the change. What's in the News Analysts adjust the price target for FirstGroup to £2.50, reflecting updated views on the discount rate, revenue expectations, profit margin assumptions, and the future P/E multiple.Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 10
FGP: Stable Margins And Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price target on FirstGroup, with the latest fair value estimate holding at £2.50. Updated assumptions on the discount rate and future P/E have contributed to a more refined view of the stock.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 24
FGP: Stable Margins And Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside
Analysts have reduced their price target on FirstGroup to £2.50 per share, citing only minor adjustments to the discount rate, revenue expectations, profit margins and future P/E assumptions, rather than any major shift in the investment case. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Fair value per share is held at £2.50, with no change to the central estimate.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 10
FGP: Stronger Margin Outlook And Steady P/E Will Support Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on FirstGroup slightly, citing marginally higher discount rate assumptions, a small extra revenue decline and a modestly stronger profit margin outlook, which leaves their overall fair value estimate at £2.50 per share. Valuation Changes Fair Value: £2.50 per share is unchanged in the updated assessment.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 26
FGP: Higher Future P/E Assumptions Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target on FirstGroup by £0.01, reflecting slightly lower fair value and profit margin assumptions, alongside a modestly higher discount rate and future P/E multiple in their models. Valuation Changes Fair value has been reduced slightly from £2.51 to £2.50 per share.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 12
FGP: Stable Assumptions And Earnings Multiple Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target on FirstGroup to £2.51, with the small adjustment reflecting steady assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E. Together, these factors support a broadly unchanged view of the shares.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 26
FGP: New Overground Contract Will Drive Future Returns
Analysts have kept their £2.51 price target for FirstGroup broadly steady, citing only minor tweaks to assumptions such as a slightly higher discount rate and modestly adjusted revenue growth, profit margin and forward P/E inputs. What's in the News FirstGroup agreed to acquire the UK sightseeing bus operations of RATP Développement for about £17 million.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 11
FGP: New Overground Contract And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Returns
Analysts have kept their fair value view broadly unchanged for FirstGroup, with only small adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate, revenue expectations, profit margin and future P/E. This has led to a marginal tweak in their £ price target rather than a significant reset of their outlook.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 27
FGP: New Overground Win And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Returns
Analysts have nudged their price target on FirstGroup slightly higher to £2.51 per share, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue trends and profit margins, while keeping the long term P/E outlook broadly unchanged. What's in the News FirstGroup agreed to acquire the UK sightseeing bus operations of RATP Développement for about £17m, adding 63 buses across London and Bath, two depots and around 190 employees to the First Bus business (Key Developments).Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 09
FGP: Higher Interim Dividend Will Support Stronger Shareholder Returns Ahead
Analysts have nudged their price target for FirstGroup slightly higher to around £2.51. This reflects small adjustments to fair value estimates, discount rate assumptions and expectations for revenue contraction, profit margins and future P/E multiples.Analiz Makalesi • Dec 15
We Think FirstGroup (LON:FGP) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 14
FGP: Dividend And Buyback Will Support Stronger Shareholder Returns Ahead
Analysts have nudged their price target on FirstGroup higher, lifting fair value from £2.39 to £2.50 as they factor in slightly improved revenue expectations despite a modestly softer margin and higher discount rate. What's in the News Board proposes an interim dividend of 2.2 pence per share for H1 2026, up from 1.7 pence in H1 2025.Analiz Makalesi • Nov 21
FirstGroup (LON:FGP) Will Pay A Dividend Of £0.022
The board of FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 30th of December, with...Analiz Makalesi • Oct 22
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)?
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial...Analiz Makalesi • Sep 03
Investors Don't See Light At End Of FirstGroup plc's (LON:FGP) Tunnel
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Transportation industry in the United Kingdom have price-to-sales...Analiz Makalesi • Jun 15
Analysts Are Betting On FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP) With A Big Upgrade This Week
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial...Analiz Makalesi • May 08
FirstGroup plc's (LON:FGP) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 26%
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a...Analiz Makalesi • Apr 21
Should You Think About Buying FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP) Now?
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over...Analiz Makalesi • Mar 25
Is FirstGroup (LON:FGP) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Yeni Anlatı • Feb 08
Bus Electrification And London-Stirling Rail Route Will Improve Future Operations
Electrification of the bus fleet, supported by partnerships and CapEx, aims to improve efficiency and margins long-term.Analiz Makalesi • Nov 21
Shareholders Will Be Pleased With The Quality of FirstGroup's (LON:FGP) Earnings
When companies post strong earnings, the stock generally performs well, just like FirstGroup plc's ( LON:FGP ) stock...Analiz Makalesi • Oct 04
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, FirstGroup fair value estimate is UK£1.36 Current share price...Analiz Makalesi • Sep 12
What FirstGroup plc's (LON:FGP) P/S Is Not Telling You
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.4x in the Transportation industry in the United Kingdom...Analiz Makalesi • Aug 06
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)?
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during...Analiz Makalesi • Jul 02
Estimating The Fair Value Of FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)
Key Insights The projected fair value for FirstGroup is UK£1.51 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...Kazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri
| Tarih | Gelir | Kazançlar | Serbest Nakit Akışı | Faaliyetlerden Nakit | Avg. Analist Sayısı |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/31/2029 | 2,201 | 128 | 110 | N/A | 2 |
| 3/31/2028 | 2,254 | 110 | 127 | 242 | 3 |
| 3/31/2027 | 3,972 | 113 | 96 | 234 | 3 |
| 3/28/2026 | 4,752 | 116 | 363 | 616 | N/A |
| 12/28/2025 | 4,856 | 122 | 390 | 627 | N/A |
| 9/27/2025 | 4,990 | 129 | 417 | 638 | N/A |
| 6/27/2025 | 5,028 | 126 | 508 | 696 | N/A |
| 3/29/2025 | 5,066 | 123 | 598 | 754 | N/A |
| 12/29/2024 | 4,989 | 109 | 534 | 700 | N/A |
| 9/28/2024 | 4,882 | 95 | 470 | 646 | N/A |
| 6/28/2024 | 4,798 | 42 | 397 | 595 | N/A |
| 3/30/2024 | 4,715 | -10 | 324 | 543 | N/A |
| 12/30/2023 | 4,732 | -8 | 367 | 592 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 4,750 | -7 | 410 | 642 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 4,752 | 36 | 403 | 608 | N/A |
| 3/25/2023 | 4,755 | 79 | 396 | 574 | N/A |
| 12/25/2022 | 4,710 | 69 | 204 | 380 | N/A |
| 9/24/2022 | 4,664 | 59 | 13 | 186 | N/A |
| 6/24/2022 | 4,628 | 24 | -126 | 87 | N/A |
| 3/26/2022 | 4,591 | -11 | -264 | -12 | N/A |
| 12/26/2021 | 4,498 | 2 | -111 | 229 | N/A |
| 9/25/2021 | 4,405 | 15 | 43 | 470 | N/A |
| 6/25/2021 | 4,362 | 12 | 413 | 837 | N/A |
| 3/27/2021 | 4,319 | 10 | 784 | 1,204 | N/A |
| 9/26/2020 | 3,164 | -209 | 1,035 | 1,306 | N/A |
| 6/26/2020 | 3,903 | -273 | 831 | 1,131 | N/A |
| 3/28/2020 | 4,643 | -337 | 626 | 957 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 7,555 | -280 | N/A | 812 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 7,356 | -233 | N/A | 667 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 7,241 | -150 | N/A | 615 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 7,127 | -67 | N/A | 564 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 7,029 | -186 | N/A | 571 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 6,930 | -305 | N/A | 578 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 6,664 | -301 | N/A | 607 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 6,398 | -296 | N/A | 637 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 6,129 | -95 | N/A | 660 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 5,860 | 105 | N/A | 683 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 5,757 | 109 | N/A | 602 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 5,653 | 112 | N/A | 520 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 5,498 | 108 | N/A | 522 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 5,342 | 105 | N/A | 523 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 5,280 | 97 | N/A | 466 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 5,218 | 90 | N/A | 410 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 5,384 | 79 | N/A | 306 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 5,551 | 67 | N/A | 202 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 5,801 | 71 | N/A | 264 | N/A |
Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri
Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: FGP 'nin tahmini kazanç büyümesi (yıllık 1.5% ) tasarruf oranının ( 3.4% ) altındadır.
Kazançlar ve Piyasa: FGP şirketinin kazançlarının (yıllık 1.5% ) UK pazarından (yıllık 11.5% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: FGP şirketinin kazançlarının artması bekleniyor, ancak önemli ölçüde.
Gelir ve Pazar: FGP şirketinin gelirinin önümüzdeki 3 yıl içinde düşmesi bekleniyor (yılda -29.6% ).
Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: FGP şirketinin gelirinin önümüzdeki 3 yıl içinde düşmesi öngörülüyor (yılda -29.6% ).
Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri
Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi
Gelecekteki ROE: FGP 'nin Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde düşük olması tahmin ediliyor ( 14.2 %).
Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin
Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu
| Veri | Son Güncelleme (UTC saati) |
|---|---|
| Şirket Analizi | 2026/06/19 18:18 |
| Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı | 2026/06/19 00:00 |
| Kazançlar | 2026/03/28 |
| Yıllık Kazançlar | 2026/03/28 |
Veri Kaynakları
Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.
| Paket | Veri | Zaman Çerçevesi | Örnek ABD Kaynağı * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Şirket Finansalları | 10 yıl |
| |
| Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri | +3 yıl |
|
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| Piyasa Fiyatları | 30 yıl |
| |
| Sahiplik | 10 yıl |
| |
| Yönetim | 10 yıl |
| |
| Önemli Gelişmeler | 10 yıl |
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* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.
Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.
Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi
Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntıları GitHub sayfamızda mevcuttur; ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınıza dair kılavuzlarımız ve YouTube'da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.
Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.
Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri
Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.
Analist Kaynakları
FirstGroup plc 21 Bu analistlerden 3, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.
| Analist | Kurum |
|---|---|
| David Fintzen | Barclays |
| Jack Cummings | Berenberg |
| James Edward Hollins | BNP Paribas |