Spotify Technology (SPOT) Aktievy
Spotify Technology S.A., tillsammans med sina dotterbolag, tillhandahåller abonnemangstjänster för ljudstreaming över hela världen. Mer information
| Snöflinga Score | |
|---|---|
| Värdering | 5/6 |
| Framtida tillväxt | 2/6 |
| Tidigare resultat | 6/6 |
| Finansiell hälsa | 6/6 |
| Utdelningar | 0/6 |
Belöningar
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SPOT Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
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Spotify Technology S.A. Konkurrenter
Prishistorik och prestanda
| Historiska aktiekurser | |
|---|---|
| Aktuell aktiekurs | US$488.14 |
| 52 veckors högsta | US$748.30 |
| 52 veckors lägsta | US$405.00 |
| Beta | 1.58 |
| 1 månads förändring | 1.74% |
| 3 månaders förändring | 16.36% |
| 1 års förändring | -30.85% |
| 3 års förändring | 251.99% |
| 5 års förändring | 130.82% |
| Förändring sedan börsintroduktionen | 227.59% |
Senaste nyheter och uppdateringar
Seeking Alpha • Aug 03
Spotify: AI Threatens The Platform Ahead Of Q2 2026 Earnings - Strong Sell
Summary Spotify (SPOT) faces structural risks from AI-generated content, threatening platform quality, operating costs, and artist negotiations ahead of Q2 2026 earnings. SPOT remains heavily dependent on major music labels, with 72% of streams controlled by four entities, limiting content control and inflating royalty expenses. Valuation metrics—P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA—show SPOT trades at a significant premium to peers despite lagging gross profit margins. I am closely watching Q2 2026 for ad-supported revenue trends, AI/cloud cost escalation, and monetization from new content formats beyond subscriber growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Uppdatering av berättelse • Jul 31
SPOT: AI Roadmap And Premium Add Ons Will Support Future Margins
Spotify Technology's updated analyst price target framework points to a modest fair value adjustment to about $606 per share. Analysts cite steady execution on growth and margins, an expanded AI driven product roadmap, and new premium offerings that refine assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels.Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Aug 03
Spotify: AI Threatens The Platform Ahead Of Q2 2026 Earnings - Strong Sell
Summary Spotify (SPOT) faces structural risks from AI-generated content, threatening platform quality, operating costs, and artist negotiations ahead of Q2 2026 earnings. SPOT remains heavily dependent on major music labels, with 72% of streams controlled by four entities, limiting content control and inflating royalty expenses. Valuation metrics—P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA—show SPOT trades at a significant premium to peers despite lagging gross profit margins. I am closely watching Q2 2026 for ad-supported revenue trends, AI/cloud cost escalation, and monetization from new content formats beyond subscriber growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaUppdatering av berättelse • Jul 31
SPOT: AI Roadmap And Premium Add Ons Will Support Future Margins
Spotify Technology's updated analyst price target framework points to a modest fair value adjustment to about $606 per share. Analysts cite steady execution on growth and margins, an expanded AI driven product roadmap, and new premium offerings that refine assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Jun 30
SPOT: AI Licensing And Premium Add Ons Will Drive Future Margins
Spotify Technology's analyst price target has been raised by roughly $80 to the mid $500s, as analysts point to the company's AI-driven product roadmap, new monetization tools, and long-term financial targets highlighted at its recent investor day. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Spotify Technology centers on how its AI product roadmap, new premium tiers, and licensing deals could influence long-term growth, execution, and valuation.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Jun 16
SPOT: AI Personalization And Pricing Tests Will Shape Balanced Risk Profile
Analyst price targets for Spotify have shifted higher by roughly $50 to $150, into a $520 to $650 range, as analysts react to the investor day focus on AI driven personalization, new premium tiers, and licensing deals with Universal Music Group and Live Nation that are seen as supportive of engagement, monetization, and the updated profit margin and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a wide spread of views on Spotify, with several firms lifting price targets into a higher range following the investor day, while others remain more cautious on how the story plays out in practice.Uppdatering av berättelse • Jun 01
SPOT: AI Partnerships And Premium Add Ons Will Drive Future Margin Expansion
Analysts trimmed the fair value estimate for Spotify to $734 from $787, even as many raised price targets into the $520 to $650 range. This reflects enthusiasm around the company's AI driven product roadmap, new Universal Music Group partnerships, and perceived visibility into mid term growth and monetization.Uppdatering av berättelse • May 13
SPOT: Price Increases And AI Investments Will Support Future Margin Expansion
Spotify Technology's updated analyst price target has moved lower to reflect a fair value estimate now around $590, as analysts factor in slightly higher revenue growth assumptions along with more conservative long term profit margins and a reduced future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify Technology reflects a mix of optimism on execution and margins, alongside more cautious views on valuation and future growth assumptions.Uppdatering av berättelse • Apr 29
SPOT: Future Margin Expansion Will Rely On Recurring Price Hikes
Analysts trimmed Spotify Technology's fair value estimate slightly to $786.63. This reflects lower price targets across several firms, balanced by views that improved profit margins and an updated future P/E assumption still support the long-term case.Uppdatering av berättelse • Apr 15
SPOT: 2026 Price Hikes And AI Features Will Support Margins
The analyst price target for Spotify has edged slightly lower by about $2 to reflect a modestly higher discount rate and slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, even as analysts continue to highlight potential support from improving profit margins and product investments, including AI features. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify reflects a mixed but engaged view, with analysts actively revisiting ratings and price targets as they reassess AI risk, margin trajectory, and the pace of price changes.Uppdatering av berättelse • Mar 31
SPOT: Recurring Price Increases Will Support Future Margin Expansion Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target framework for Spotify higher to $784.59 from $767.84, reflecting slightly firmer assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E in light of a mix of supportive rating actions, incremental price hike expectations, and ongoing debate over AI related risks. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify centers on two themes you should keep in mind: pricing power in Premium subscriptions and how much AI changes the risk profile for the business.Uppdatering av berättelse • Mar 17
SPOT: Recurring Price Hikes And Firmer Margins Will Support Revaluation Potential
Spotify's analyst fair value estimate has been adjusted from $889.24 to $767.84 as analysts factor in slightly higher discount rates and a lower future P/E, partly offset by firmer margin expectations and views that AI related risks to the platform and its pricing power are limited. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify highlights a split view on AI risk and pricing power, but there is a clear cluster of bullish analysts who still see upside in the story despite a period of target cuts across the Street.Uppdatering av berättelse • Mar 03
SPOT: 2026 Price Hikes Will Support Margins Despite AI Concerns
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target on Spotify to $649 from $662. This reflects a modest increase in the discount rate and slightly lower assumptions for revenue growth and future P/E.Uppdatering av berättelse • Feb 17
SPOT: 2026 U.S. Price Hike Will Offset Rising AI Subscription Risk
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Spotify, reflected in a lower fair value estimate of $662.14 from $733.44, as they factor in higher perceived AI related risk to paid streaming, modestly softer growth assumptions, a richer discount rate, and a more conservative future P/E multiple, despite higher projected profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify Technology points to a mixed but highly engaged analyst backdrop, with multiple firms revisiting their models around AI risk, pricing, and execution on product initiatives.
Ny berättelse • Feb 13
Spotify - A Fundamental and Historical Valuation
️Business Overview Key Metrics Total: -1/17 +1 ✅ Projected Operating Margin: 17.56% +1 ✅ Projected 5-Year Revenue CAGR: 10.87% +0 ⚠️ Last 5-Year ROIC: 4.68% -2 ❌ Estimated Cost of Capital: 7.71% (greater than ROIC) -1 ❌ Last 5-Year Shares Outstanding CAGR: +2.07% +1 ✅ Projected 5-Year EPS CAGR: 15.46% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Dividend CAGR: N/A +1 ✅ Estimated Debt Rating: A1 -1 ❌ Morningstar Moat: Narrow -1 ❌ Morningstar Uncertainty: High Despite its Narrow Moat rating by Morningstar, Spotify still shows an operating margin around ~15-20% and expanding. Its revenue and EPS growth is also solid between 10-15%.Analysartikel • Feb 05
Spotify Technology S.A.'s (NYSE:SPOT) 26% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Earnings
The Spotify Technology S.A. ( NYSE:SPOT ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a...Uppdatering av berättelse • Feb 03
SPOT: Free Tier Funnel And 2026 U.S. Price Hike Will Support Leadership
Analysts have trimmed their blended price target for Spotify, with our fair value estimate easing from US$748.60 to about US$733.44. This reflects slightly lower assumed future P/E multiples, which more than offset modestly higher long term revenue growth and profit margin expectations following a wave of recent target cuts and rating changes across the Street.Uppdatering av berättelse • Jan 20
SPOT: Future Price Increases And Margin Goals Will Drive Rerating Potential
Analysts have trimmed their Spotify Technology price targets, with our fair value estimate moving from US$913.70 to US$889.24. They are factoring in slightly softer margin assumptions, modestly lower growth estimates, and a higher future P/E, while still referencing potential benefits from pricing changes and longer term margin goals.Uppdatering av berättelse • Jan 06
SPOT: Pricing Power And AI Collaboration Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price targets for Spotify higher, citing a supportive mix of pricing power, a constructive view on music industry economics, and a willingness to underwrite a richer future P/E multiple of around 38.7x. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify reflects a mix of enthusiasm for the business model and pricing potential alongside debate over how much optimism is already reflected in the share price.Uppdatering av berättelse • Dec 14
SPOT: Pricing Power And AI Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward Outlook
Our fair value estimate for Spotify Technology has been raised by about $37 to roughly $569 per share, as analysts grow more confident in accelerating revenue growth, expanding profit margins, and the earnings power implied by recent price target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Spotify highlights a mix of optimism around pricing power, product innovation, and artificial intelligence, alongside a more measured tone on valuation and execution risk.Uppdatering av berättelse • Nov 18
SPOT: User Gains From Free Tier Funnel Will Drive Competitive Leadership
Spotify’s analyst price target has been modestly increased from approximately $736 to $749, as analysts point to rising expectations for revenue growth and margin expansion. This outlook is fueled by upcoming price increases and ongoing product enhancements.Analysartikel • Nov 11
We Think Spotify Technology's (NYSE:SPOT) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve
Even though Spotify Technology S.A. ( NYSE:SPOT ) posted strong earnings, investors appeared to be underwhelmed. We...Analysartikel • Nov 07
Spotify Technology S.A. Just Recorded A 63% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next
Last week, you might have seen that Spotify Technology S.A. ( NYSE:SPOT ) released its quarterly result to the market...Uppdatering av berättelse • Nov 01
SPOT: Upcoming Price Increases And Product Changes Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Spotify Technology by approximately $10 to $736. They cite a balanced outlook in light of evolving industry pricing opportunities and the company's recent financial performance trends.Uppdatering av berättelse • Oct 17
Generative AI And Personalization Will Shape Future Entertainment
Spotify’s consensus analyst price target has been adjusted slightly lower, from $747.78 to $746.42. This change reflects updated expectations around revenue growth and profit margins as analysts weigh recent price increases, user engagement momentum, and the outlook for cost management.Uppdatering av berättelse • Oct 03
Generative AI And Personalization Will Shape Future Entertainment
Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Spotify Technology, adjusting the price target from $756 to $748. More balanced risk-reward expectations and moderated growth outlooks for key metrics offset recent model updates and price increases.Uppdatering av berättelse • Sep 17
Generative AI And Personalization Will Shape Future Entertainment
Analysts have raised Spotify’s price targets, citing robust subscriber growth, improved product differentiation and engagement, and greater pricing power despite near-term cost headwinds, leading to a consensus Analyst Price Target increase from $739.83 to $756.18. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are raising price targets on expectations of continued price increases in key markets and further upward revisions to long-term revenue and profit estimates.Seeking Alpha • Apr 16
Spotify Is Executing Brilliantly, But The Stock Isn't A Buy Anymore (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Spotify's stock has surged 85.1% since my initial “cautious buy” rating, driven by better-than-expected company improvements and strong execution. Despite impressive growth, the reduced margin of safety now requires greater optimism for a favorable valuation, prompting a downgrade to “cautious hold”. Spotify has achieved significant milestones, including a +30% gross margin and +670 million MAUs, through strategic initiatives and cost management. Risks remain, such as dependency on record labels and increasing competition, making long-term growth visibility less clear and necessitating cautious optimism. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 14
Spotify: The Road Ahead Is Tough, But It Is Positioned Well
Summary Spotify continues to lead in music streaming with strong growth, innovative features, and a dominant market position, despite recent stock price declines. The company achieved record Q4 results and profitability in 2024, but faces challenges in further margin expansion and increased competition from YouTube. Future success hinges on maintaining efficiency, better monetizing emerging markets users, and significantly improving ads and video capabilities. Considering the challenges ahead, Spotify's Valuation is a bit too high at 46 times forward earnings, making it a 'Hold'. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 14
Spotify: Just Getting Started
Summary The monetization process is just getting started. Spotify may have multiple years of high earnings growth and increasing FCF. Growing premium subscribers with higher ARPU is the main earnings driver, boosting EBITDA and free cash flow and enhancing shareholder value. Spotify is beginning to gain pricing power from music labels that adds upside risk to its monetization story. The stock's valuation is transitioning to higher EPS-based multiples, I target a price of $770 by YE26. Competition from Amazon and Apple poses a risk, but Spotify's monetization strategy and profitability shift support a continued buy rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 05
Spotify Q4: Profitability Is Only Getting Better
Summary Spotify released its Q4 earnings on 2/4, impressing the market. This was mostly off the back of growing premium subscribers from Q4 2024, and continued growth into Q1 2025. MAUs are up, revenue is up, and expenses are down; Spotify is in a great position and has finally turned a profit for a full year. Compound this with its high valuation, and you have a set-up for success or failure depending on future earnings and if growth can maintain its trajectory. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Ny berättelse • Feb 05
Narrative update from Michael Paige
Retain Dominant Market Share Position In Paid Music StreamingThis assumptions appears to be tracking well and ahead of my conservative estimates. I estimated 8% growth per year in MAU and premium subsSeeking Alpha • Jan 22
Spotify Q4 Preview: Changing Creator Incentives
Summary Spotify's shares have surged 31.99% since October, driven by AI optimization and enhanced user experiences, boosting demand and premium subscriptions. The new creator incentive program, offering 50% ad revenue share, is a game changer, attracting more high-quality content to Spotify. Despite market pessimism, I believe Spotify's Q4 earnings will exceed expectations due to these creator innovations and strong user engagement metrics. SPOT's strong free cash flow growth and competitive creator incentives position it for significant upside, making it a strong buy heading into Q4 earnings. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 15
Spotify: The Operational Leverage Run Is Close To Being Over, What's Next?
Summary Spotify emerged stronger from the 2022 market selloff, with its stock up over 6x since December 2022 due to margin expansion and consistent growth. Key growth drivers included aggressive cost-cutting, gaining leverage over music labels, and diversifying into podcasts and audiobooks. Future growth will depend on emerging markets and advertising, though these come with lower ARPU and more uncertainty. Spotify's operational leverage has limits, and the company faces challenges in maintaining the margin expansion story while making strides into video and competing with YouTube. The current valuation and consensus estimates don't reflect the higher uncertainty, leading to a 'Hold' rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 15
Spotify: My Top Investment Pick For 2025
Summary I recommend a "Strong Buy" for Spotify as I highlight robust growth, pricing power, and profitability improvements. Spotify's Q3 results were stellar, with gross margins at 31.1%, revenue up 19% YoY, and free cash flow soaring 230% to $711 million. The platform's scalable, low-cost model, AI-driven personalization, and new subscription tiers ensure sustained growth and high margins without significant overhead. Looking ahead, Spotify's video podcast push, new "Superfan" tier, and enhanced ad tools will drive further revenue and margin gains, with analysts projecting €3.6 billion in FCF by 2026. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 08
From $15 Billion To $100 Billion: Lessons From Our Spotify Investment
Summary Spotify's stock surged from $132 to $500 per share since its 2018 IPO, delivering a 23% annualized return over 6.5 years. Despite past doubts about its profitability, Spotify's recent improvements in gross margins and cost discipline have renewed optimism in its long-term potential. The company's strategic shift towards advertising and price increases has driven revenue growth and positioned it for future profitability. Adopting a principle of letting winners naturally concentrate in the portfolio has proven effective, with Spotify now representing 15% of our holdings. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Ny berättelse • Nov 24
Expanding Audiobook Offerings And AI Innovation Propel Dynamic Growth Trajectory
Expansion into audiobooks and AI-enhanced music discovery are set to boost user engagement and revenue growth.Seeking Alpha • Nov 12
Spotify Q3: Strong Subscriber Growth And Margin Improvement
Summary I reiterate a Strong Buy on Spotify Technology S.A. stock with a one-year price target of $500 per share, due to strong subscriber growth and improved monetization. Spotify's potential launch of an ads exchange platform could enhance video ad offerings, reduce reliance on Alphabet and Meta, and boost ad revenue. Spotify's Q3 results showed 19% revenue growth and 11.5% growth in monthly active users, with new features enhancing user experience and reducing churn. Despite SPOT's ongoing legal battles with the Mechanical Licensing Collective, I project 16% annual revenue growth, driven by subscriber gains, price increases, and advertising expansions. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 03
Spotify: Who's There? TikTok - Buy
Summary I'm maintaining my buy-rating on Spotify in light of TikTok Music's shutdown this November, which I expect will boost Spotify's subscriber base significantly. I expect SPOT to outperform due to momentum in premium subscribers' organic growth and migration from TikTok. I hereon share my positive sentiment on Spotify and why I see more upside in 4Q24 and FY25. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAktieägarnas avkastning
| SPOT | US Entertainment | US Marknad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% |
| 1Y | -30.8% | -22.7% | 20.6% |
Avkastning vs industri: SPOT presterade sämre än US Entertainment branschen som gav -22.7 % under det senaste året.
Avkastning vs Marknaden: SPOT presterade sämre än US marknaden som gav 20.6 % under det senaste året.
Prisvolatilitet
| SPOT volatility | |
|---|---|
| SPOT Average Weekly Movement | 6.2% |
| Entertainment Industry Average Movement | 8.2% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stabil aktiekurs: SPOT har inte haft någon betydande prisvolatilitet under de senaste 3 månaderna jämfört med marknaden för US.
Volatilitet över tid: SPOT s veckovolatilitet ( 6% ) har varit stabil under det senaste året.
Om företaget
| Grundad | Anställda | VD OCH KONCERNCHEF | Webbplats |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | 7,000 | Alex Norström | www.spotify.com |
Spotify Technology S.A., tillsammans med sina dotterbolag, tillhandahåller prenumerationstjänster för ljudstreaming över hela världen. Verksamheten bedrivs i två segment, Premium och Ad-Supported. Segmentet Premium erbjuder online- och offline-streaming av sin katalog av musik och podcasts, inklusive video, förlustfri musik och ljudböcker på utvalda marknader genom prenumerationserbjudanden som främst säljs direkt till slutanvändare och partners.
Spotify Technology S.A. Sammanfattning av grunderna
| SPOT grundläggande statistik | |
|---|---|
| Börsvärde | US$100.35b |
| Vinst(TTM) | US$3.86b |
| Intäkter(TTM) | US$20.94b |
26.0x
P/E-förhållande4.8x
P/S-förhållandeÄr SPOT övervärderat?
Se Verkligt värde och värderingsanalysResultat & intäkter
| SPOT resultaträkning (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Intäkter | €18.11b |
| Kostnad för intäkter | €12.18b |
| Bruttovinst | €5.94b |
| Övriga kostnader | €2.60b |
| Intäkter | €3.34b |
Senast redovisade vinst
Jun 30, 2026
Nästa vinstdatum
n/a
| Vinst per aktie (EPS) | 16.24 |
| Bruttomarginal | 32.77% |
| Nettovinstmarginal | 18.43% |
| Skuld/egenkapitalförhållande | 0% |
Hur har SPOT utvecklats på lång sikt?
Se historisk utveckling och jämförelseFöretagsanalys och finansiella data Status
| Uppgifter | Senast uppdaterad (UTC-tid) |
|---|---|
| Analys av företag | 2026/08/09 06:51 |
| Aktiekurs vid dagens slut | 2026/08/07 00:00 |
| Intäkter | 2026/06/30 |
| Årlig intjäning | 2025/12/31 |
Datakällor
Den data som används i vår företagsanalys kommer från S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Följande data används i vår analysmodell för att generera denna rapport. Data är normaliserade vilket kan medföra en fördröjning från det att källan är tillgänglig.
| Paket | Uppgifter | Tidsram | Exempel US-källa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Företagets finansiella ställning | 10 år |
| |
| Analytikernas konsensusuppskattningar | +3 år |
|
|
| Marknadspriser | 30 år |
| |
| Ägarskap | 10 år |
| |
| Förvaltning | 10 år |
| |
| Viktiga utvecklingstendenser | 10 år |
|
* Exempel för amerikanska värdepapper, för icke-amerikanska värdepapper används motsvarande regelverk och källor.
Om inget annat anges är all finansiell data baserad på en årsperiod men uppdateras kvartalsvis. Detta kallas data för efterföljande tolv månader (TTM) eller senaste tolv månader (LTM). Lär dig mer om detta.
Analysmodell och snöflinga
Detaljer om analysmodellen som används för att skapa den här rapporten finns på vår Github-sida, vi har också guider om hur du använder våra rapporter och handledningar på Youtube.
Lär dig mer om det team i världsklass som utformade och byggde analysmodellen Simply Wall St.
Industri- och sektormått
Våra bransch- och sektionsmått beräknas var sjätte timme av Simply Wall St, detaljer om vår process finns tillgängliga på Github.
Källor för analytiker
Spotify Technology S.A. bevakas av 65 analytiker. 36 av dessa analytiker lämnade de uppskattningar av intäkter eller resultat som användes som indata till vår rapport. Analytikernas inskickade estimat uppdateras löpande under dagen.
| Analytiker | Institution |
|---|---|
| William Noel Milner | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Richard Kramer | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Samuel Lourensz | Arete Research Services LLP |