Vale S.A.

BOVESPA:VALE3 Aktierapport

Börsvärde: R$356.5b

Vale Framtida tillväxt

Future kriterier kontrolleras 2/6

Vale förväntas öka intäkter och intäkter med 17.4% respektive 0.4% per år. EPS förväntas tillväxt med 24% per år. Avkastningen på eget kapital förväntas bli 18.1% om 3 år.

Viktig information

17.4%

Tillväxttakt i vinsten

24.04%

Tillväxttakt för EPS

Metals and Mining vinsttillväxt21.2%
Intäkternas tillväxttakt0.4%
Framtida avkastning på eget kapital18.15%
Bevakning av analytiker

Good

Senast uppdaterad22 May 2026

Senaste uppdateringarna om framtida tillväxt

Recent updates

Uppdatering av berättelse • May 25

VALE3: Iron Ore Assumptions And Execution Risks Will Shape Balanced Future Returns

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Vale from R$69.39 to R$75.65, citing a series of higher price targets from R$14.80 to R$19.50 issued by major banks and updated models that incorporate revised profit margins and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Vale shows a mix of optimism and caution, with higher targets from some large banks set against a series of downgrades and more restrained views from other bearish analysts.
Uppdatering av berättelse • May 05

VALE3: Base Metals Mix And Copper Strength Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have nudged the R$ fair value estimate for Vale higher to R$104.54 from R$101.20. The updated estimate reflects a series of recent price target increases, even as analysts factor in a slightly higher discount rate, more conservative revenue growth, modestly lower profit margins and a higher future P/E assumption.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Apr 20

VALE3: Base Metals Strength And Iron Ore Risks Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have slightly lifted the R$ fair value estimate for Vale, reflecting broadly higher Street price targets. These emphasize stronger base metals contributions, a higher assumed future P/E and more cautious views on revenue growth and profit margins.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Apr 05

VALE3: Copper Strength And Base Metals Mix Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have slightly reduced the fair value estimate for Vale. The updated price target of R$101.20 reflects a higher discount rate and more conservative revenue growth assumptions, partly offset by a marginally stronger profit margin outlook and a lower future P/E.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Mar 22

VALE3: Base Metals And Copper Mix Will Drive Future Returns

Narrative Update on Vale The analyst price target for Vale edges slightly lower in the model, reflecting a marginal trim to fair value to R$88.67. Analysts see the shares more fully reflecting iron ore and base metals assumptions after a series of target increases and recent rating downgrades that emphasize valuation and oversupply risks.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Mar 08

VALE3: Base Metals And Copper Shift Will Support Future Returns

Our analyst price target for Vale has been revised higher to R$88.95 from R$80.25, reflecting Street research that has generally nudged targets up on stronger base metals contributions and copper demand, even as analysts flag iron ore price softness, steel demand headwinds, and potential oversupply risks. Analyst Commentary Street research on Vale has turned more mixed recently, with several price target increases sitting alongside fresh rating downgrades.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Feb 22

VALE3: Copper And Base Metals Mix Will Drive Future Upside Potential

The updated analyst price target for Vale implies fair value rising from about R$86.67 to roughly R$102.54. Analysts point to stronger margin assumptions, a lower discount rate and a lower future P/E, supported by recent research that highlights higher copper exposure even as iron ore faces potential oversupply risk.
Analysartikel • Feb 19

There May Be Reason For Hope In Vale's (BVMF:VALE3) Disappointing Earnings

Vale S.A.'s ( BVMF:VALE3 ) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. While the headline numbers were...
Uppdatering av berättelse • Feb 07

VALE3: Iron Ore Oversupply And Execution Risks Will Pressure Future Earnings

Our updated analyst price target for Vale edges slightly lower by about $0.65, as analysts balance more constructive assumptions on revenue growth with modestly softer profit margin expectations and a small adjustment in the assumed P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Vale has been mixed, with some firms lifting price targets and others sounding more cautious.
Analysartikel • Jan 30

Returns At Vale (BVMF:VALE3) Appear To Be Weighed Down

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. In a perfect...
Uppdatering av berättelse • Jan 24

VALE3: Iron Ore Oversupply Risk Will Pressure Earnings Power And Sentiment

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Vale from $54.24 to $70.04, reflecting mixed views on iron ore oversupply risk and cost discipline, along with generally higher Street price targets clustered around $12 to $15.50. Analyst Commentary Street research around Vale highlights a split view, with some firms raising price targets on the back of modeling updates and cost control, while bearish analysts flag iron ore market risks and temper expectations for upside.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Jan 09

VALE3: Base And Precious Metals Exposure Will Drive Future Upside Potential

The updated analyst price target for Vale implies a fair value move from about $84 to $87, as analysts balance oversupply risks in iron ore with improving views on base and precious metals exposure, alongside a revised future P/E assumption of 13.2x. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Vale reflects a split view, with some caution around iron ore oversupply risk and a cluster of more constructive opinions tied to base and precious metals exposure, as well as updated models after recent company results.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Dec 25

VALE3: Base Metals Expansion And Cost Discipline Will Drive Balanced Future Returns

Vale's analyst price target has been nudged higher, with fair value estimates rising by about $3.50 per share as analysts factor in slightly stronger long term revenue growth, modestly better margins, and a richer future earnings multiple following a series of recent target hikes from major banks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Vale reflects a generally constructive stance, with a clear tilt toward incremental upgrades and higher price targets as analysts recalibrate models following the latest quarterly update.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Dec 11

VALE3: Base Metals And Copper Expansion Will Drive Balanced Future Return Potential

The analyst price target for Vale has been nudged higher to about $14.50 per share from roughly $14 previously, as analysts cite updated post Q3 models, improving base metals performance, and constructive views on copper driven by tight supply and stronger precious metal prices. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a broadly constructive tone on Vale, with multiple firms raising price targets as they refresh models following the Q3 report and factor in stronger trends in base and precious metals.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Nov 27

VALE3: Base Metals Segment Performance Will Drive 2026 Profitability Upside

Vale’s analyst price target has been raised from $71.08 to $75.14. Analysts cite constructive views following the company's Q3 report, improved Base Metals segment performance, and ongoing cost control as key reasons for the increased valuation.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Nov 12

VALE3: Revenue Momentum And Base Metals Performance Will Offset Market Caution

Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Vale, raising it by $0.76. This adjustment reflects stronger revenue growth forecasts and improved performance in the Base Metals segment.
Analysartikel • Nov 08

Vale (BVMF:VALE3) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Uppdatering av berättelse • Oct 29

Higher Precious Metal Prices Will Drive Earnings Thanks To Copper Supply Disruptions

Vale's analyst price target has been modestly increased, rising from $13.50 to $14. Analysts cite improved profit margins and supportive trends in precious and base metal markets as contributing factors.
Analysartikel • Oct 21

Return Trends At Vale (BVMF:VALE3) Aren't Appealing

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
Uppdatering av berättelse • Oct 14

Bacaba And Voisey's Bay Projects Will Fuel Global Decarbonization Efforts

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Vale from approximately $67.35 to $70.15. This change reflects tempered optimism due to the company's ongoing cost-cutting, gradual copper expansion, and broadly cautious sentiment on iron ore market fundamentals.
Analysartikel • Oct 02

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Vale S.A.'s (BVMF:VALE3) P/E

It's not a stretch to say that Vale S.A.'s ( BVMF:VALE3 ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.6x right now seems...
Uppdatering av berättelse • Sep 27

Bacaba And Voisey's Bay Projects Will Fuel Global Decarbonization Efforts

Vale’s consensus price target was modestly raised to R$67.35 as bullish analysts cite resilient iron ore prices and cost reductions, though sentiment is tempered by concerns over China demand, macro headwinds, and regulatory risks. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts note improved conviction in iron ore price resilience and potential for recovery in global steel demand.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Sep 05

Bacaba And Voisey's Bay Projects Will Fuel Global Decarbonization Efforts

Vale’s fair value estimate saw a negligible reduction, as consensus revenue growth and discount rate projections remained largely unchanged, resulting in only a minor decrease in the analyst price target from R$67.03 to R$66.11. What's in the News Vale and BHP offered $1.4B to settle a UK class action lawsuit related to the Mariana dam disaster, but claimants’ lawyers are demanding about $3B (Financial Times).
Analysartikel • Aug 07

Some May Be Optimistic About Vale's (BVMF:VALE3) Earnings

BOVESPA:VALE3 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Vale's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...
Analysartikel • Aug 01

Industry Analysts Just Made A Substantial Upgrade To Their Vale S.A. (BVMF:VALE3) Revenue Forecasts

Vale S.A. ( BVMF:VALE3 ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial upgrades...
Analysartikel • Jul 26

Vale (BVMF:VALE3) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysartikel • Jun 20

There Is A Reason Vale S.A.'s (BVMF:VALE3) Price Is Undemanding

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7x Vale S.A. ( BVMF:VALE3 ) may be sending bullish signals at the moment...
Analysartikel • Jun 02

Vale (BVMF:VALE3) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Typically, we'll want to notice a...
User avatar
Ny berättelse • Nov 07

Iron Ore Strategy And Cost Efficiency To Drive Growth Amidst Legal And Market Challenges

Strategic focus on cost efficiency and premium iron ore could enhance margins and market competitiveness.

Prognoser för vinst- och omsättningstillväxt

BOVESPA:VALE3 - Analytikernas framtida uppskattningar och tidigare finansiella data (BRL Millions )
DatumIntäkterIntäkterFritt kassaflödeKassaflöde från rörelsenGenomsnittligt Antal analytiker
12/31/2028213,09442,24933,28158,75019
12/31/2027206,68340,98127,83150,53722
12/31/2026206,56642,51823,69845,00022
3/31/2026214,86415,60316,54248,816N/A
12/31/2025213,59513,81415,37548,765N/A
9/30/2025213,32030,18516,08151,126N/A
6/30/2025209,59728,95411,23446,544N/A
3/31/2025211,52531,4656,55142,103N/A
12/31/2024206,00531,59215,10150,199N/A
9/30/2024211,10948,25124,98156,702N/A
6/30/2024210,09348,72930,18061,642N/A
3/31/2024206,11638,71034,27364,753N/A
12/31/2023208,06639,94036,45965,905N/A
9/30/2023206,29647,51723,55452,283N/A
6/30/2023206,41456,93927,33255,025N/A
3/31/2023213,63072,58735,30863,400N/A
12/31/2022226,50886,10630,01758,201N/A
9/30/2022237,09596,96033,23158,698N/A
6/30/2022249,433101,48960,75489,169N/A
3/31/2022281,451124,56984,349112,232N/A
12/31/2021293,524133,712109,465136,766N/A
9/30/2021296,709116,999133,655161,108N/A
6/30/2021290,197104,799116,684139,427N/A
3/31/2021243,63966,78783,680105,783N/A
12/31/2020206,09835,58853,48875,208N/A
9/30/2020170,61015,48030,62651,578N/A
6/30/2020153,3686,40722,41842,221N/A
3/31/2020148,93973429,28746,755N/A
12/31/2019144,6353,959N/A47,282N/A
9/30/2019145,07614,222N/A48,403N/A
6/30/2019142,27413,433N/A47,588N/A
3/31/2019137,50314,162N/A49,090N/A
12/31/2018134,48325,967N/A47,799N/A
9/30/2018126,85515,618N/A47,442N/A
6/30/2018117,59317,354N/A39,562N/A
3/31/2018109,72217,467N/A37,582N/A
12/31/2017108,53220,235N/A39,154N/A
9/30/2017109,35721,669N/A36,743N/A
6/30/2017102,58816,136N/A36,988N/A
3/31/2017100,80119,335N/A33,297N/A
12/31/201694,63317,470N/A21,635N/A
9/30/201679,220-20,596N/A18,235N/A
6/30/201680,739-29,215N/A16,376N/A
3/31/201680,604-27,729N/A11,999N/A
12/31/201578,057-43,553N/A15,719N/A
9/30/201585,970-15,819N/A13,380N/A
6/30/201583,250-12,537N/A14,090N/A

Analytiker Framtid Tillväxt Prognoser

Intäkter kontra sparande: VALE3 s prognostiserade vinsttillväxt ( 17.4% per år) är över sparkvoten ( 12.4% ).

Resultat vs marknad: VALE3 s intäkter ( 17.4% per år) förväntas växa snabbare än marknaden för BR ( 12.8% per år).

Höga tillväxtresultat: VALE3 s intäkter förväntas växa, men inte avsevärt.

Intäkt vs marknad: VALE3 s intäkter ( 0.4% per år) förväntas växa långsammare än marknaden för BR ( 6.9% per år).

Hög tillväxtintäkter: VALE3 s intäkter ( 0.4% per år) förväntas växa långsammare än 20% per år.

Tillväxtprognoser för vinst per aktie

Framtida avkastning på eget kapital

Framtida ROE: VALE3 s avkastning på eget kapital förväntas bli låg om 3 år ( 18.1 %).

Upptäck tillväxtföretag

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Företagsanalys och finansiella data Status

UppgifterSenast uppdaterad (UTC-tid)
Analys av företag2026/05/26 23:22
Aktiekurs vid dagens slut2026/05/26 00:00
Intäkter2026/03/31
Årlig intjäning2025/12/31

Datakällor

Den data som används i vår företagsanalys kommer från S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Följande data används i vår analysmodell för att generera denna rapport. Data är normaliserade vilket kan medföra en fördröjning från det att källan är tillgänglig.

PaketUppgifterTidsramExempel US-källa
Företagets finansiella ställning10 år
  • Resultaträkning
  • Kassaflödesanalys
  • Balansräkning
Analytikernas konsensusuppskattningar+3 år
  • Prognos för finansiella poster
  • Analytikernas prismål
Marknadspriser30 år
  • Aktiekurser
  • Utdelningar, splittar och åtgärder
Ägarskap10 år
  • Största aktieägare
  • Insiderhandel
Förvaltning10 år
  • Ledningsgrupp
  • Styrelse och verkställande direktörer
Viktiga utvecklingstendenser10 år
  • Företagsmeddelanden

* Exempel för amerikanska värdepapper, för icke-amerikanska värdepapper används motsvarande regelverk och källor.

Om inget annat anges är all finansiell data baserad på en årsperiod men uppdateras kvartalsvis. Detta kallas data för efterföljande tolv månader (TTM) eller senaste tolv månader (LTM). Lär dig mer om detta.

Analysmodell och snöflinga

Detaljer om analysmodellen som användes för att skapa den här rapporten finns på vår Github-sida, vi har också guider om hur du använder våra rapporter och tutorials på Youtube.

Lär dig mer om det team i världsklass som utformade och byggde analysmodellen Simply Wall St.

Industri- och sektormått

Våra bransch- och sektionsmått beräknas var sjätte timme av Simply Wall St, detaljer om vår process finns tillgängliga på Github.

Källor för analytiker

Vale S.A. bevakas av 41 analytiker. 22 av dessa analytiker lämnade de uppskattningar av intäkter eller resultat som användes som indata till vår rapport. Analytikernas inskickade estimat uppdateras löpande under dagen.

AnalytikerInstitution
Leonardo CorreaBarclays
Amos FletcherBarclays
Mary Cleia da SilvaBB Banco de Investimento S.A.