Stock Analysis

Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On Frontier Transport Holdings Limited (JSE:FTH)

JSE:FTH
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Frontier Transport Holdings Limited's (JSE:FTH) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.6x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in South Africa, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 9x and even P/E's above 13x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Frontier Transport Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Frontier Transport Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
JSE:FTH Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 30th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Frontier Transport Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Frontier Transport Holdings would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 35% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 71% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 12% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Frontier Transport Holdings' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Frontier Transport Holdings' P/E

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Frontier Transport Holdings revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Frontier Transport Holdings you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than Frontier Transport Holdings. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Frontier Transport Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.