Stock Analysis

Frontier Transport Holdings (JSE:FTH) Is Increasing Its Dividend To ZAR0.259

JSE:FTH
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Frontier Transport Holdings Limited's (JSE:FTH) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to ZAR0.259 on 17th of December. This takes the dividend yield to 6.1%, which shareholders will be pleased with.

View our latest analysis for Frontier Transport Holdings

Frontier Transport Holdings' Future Dividends May Potentially Be At Risk

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. However, Frontier Transport Holdings' earnings easily cover the dividend. This means that most of what the business earns is being used to help it grow.

Earnings per share could rise by 6.5% over the next year if things go the same way as they have for the last few years. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 143%, which probably can't continue without starting to put some pressure on the balance sheet.

historic-dividend
JSE:FTH Historic Dividend November 28th 2024

Frontier Transport Holdings' Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Frontier Transport Holdings has been paying dividends for a while, but the track record isn't stellar. This suggests that the dividend might not be the most reliable. Since 2018, the dividend has gone from ZAR0.28 total annually to ZAR0.484. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.6% a year over that time. We like to see dividends have grown at a reasonable rate, but with at least one substantial cut in the payments, we're not certain this dividend stock would be ideal for someone intending to live on the income.

Frontier Transport Holdings Could Grow Its Dividend

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. It's encouraging to see that Frontier Transport Holdings has been growing its earnings per share at 6.5% a year over the past five years. Growth in EPS bodes well for the dividend, as does the low payout ratio that the company is currently reporting.

In Summary

Overall, this is a reasonable dividend, and it being raised is an added bonus. While the payout ratios are a good sign, we are less enthusiastic about the company's dividend record. This looks like it could be a good dividend stock going forward, but we would note that the payout ratio has been at higher levels in the past so it could happen again.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 2 warning signs for Frontier Transport Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.