When close to half the companies in South Africa have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 9x, you may consider 4Sight Holdings Limited (JSE:4SI) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 13.9x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, 4Sight Holdings has been doing very well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for 4Sight Holdings
How Is 4Sight Holdings' Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, 4Sight Holdings would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 67%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 237% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 17% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.
With this information, we can see why 4Sight Holdings is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the bourse.
The Bottom Line On 4Sight Holdings' P/E
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that 4Sight Holdings maintains its high P/E on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident earnings aren't under threat. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for 4Sight Holdings that you need to be mindful of.
You might be able to find a better investment than 4Sight Holdings. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About JSE:4SI
4Sight Holdings
Provides technology solutions for various industries in South Africa, rest of Africa, Europe, the Middle East and Australasia, and the Americas.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.
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