Stock Analysis

Super Group (JSE:SPG) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around

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JSE:SPG

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. In light of that, when we looked at Super Group (JSE:SPG) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Super Group, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.077 = R3.8b ÷ (R77b - R28b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

Thus, Super Group has an ROCE of 7.7%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Specialty Retail industry average of 13%.

View our latest analysis for Super Group

JSE:SPG Return on Capital Employed September 17th 2024

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Super Group compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Super Group .

The Trend Of ROCE

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Super Group, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 7.7% from 14% five years ago. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.

Our Take On Super Group's ROCE

Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Super Group's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Additionally, the stock's total return to shareholders over the last five years has been flat, which isn't too surprising. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.

Super Group does have some risks, we noticed 3 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

While Super Group may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.