Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that HomeChoice International plc (JSE:HIL) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for HomeChoice International
How Much Debt Does HomeChoice International Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2021, HomeChoice International had R1.10b of debt, up from R972.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have R203.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about R901.0m.
How Healthy Is HomeChoice International's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that HomeChoice International had liabilities of R433.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of R1.13b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had R203.0m in cash and R1.43b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast R69.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This short term liquidity is a sign that HomeChoice International could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
HomeChoice International has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.5 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.6 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. If HomeChoice International can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 12% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since HomeChoice International will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, HomeChoice International created free cash flow amounting to 17% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
Our View
HomeChoice International's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, as was its interest cover. On the other hand, we found comfort in its relatively strong EBIT growth rate. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about HomeChoice International's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for HomeChoice International (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About JSE:HIL
HomeChoice International
Operates as an omni-channel retailer in South Africa.
Proven track record with mediocre balance sheet.