Stock Analysis

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Combined Motor Holdings Limited's (JSE:CMH) P/E

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JSE:CMH
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There wouldn't be many who think Combined Motor Holdings Limited's (JSE:CMH) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.3x is worth a mention when the median P/E in South Africa is similar at about 13x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

For example, consider that Combined Motor Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as it's earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

See our latest analysis for Combined Motor Holdings

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JSE:CMH Price Based on Past Earnings January 26th 2021
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Combined Motor Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Growth For Combined Motor Holdings?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Combined Motor Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 60%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 61% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 48% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Combined Motor Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Combined Motor Holdings' P/E?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Combined Motor Holdings currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 5 warning signs for Combined Motor Holdings you should be aware of, and 2 of them shouldn't be ignored.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Combined Motor Holdings. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.

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