Stock Analysis

Northam Platinum Holdings Limited (JSE:NPH) institutional owners may be pleased with recent gains after 23% loss over the past year

JSE:NPH
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Key Insights

  • Significantly high institutional ownership implies Northam Platinum Holdings' stock price is sensitive to their trading actions
  • A total of 6 investors have a majority stake in the company with 54% ownership
  • Analyst forecasts along with ownership data serve to give a strong idea about prospects for a business

To get a sense of who is truly in control of Northam Platinum Holdings Limited (JSE:NPH), it is important to understand the ownership structure of the business. The group holding the most number of shares in the company, around 44% to be precise, is institutions. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

Institutional investors would appreciate the 3.8% increase in share price last week, given their one-year losses have totalled a disappointing 23%.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Northam Platinum Holdings.

See our latest analysis for Northam Platinum Holdings

ownership-breakdown
JSE:NPH Ownership Breakdown March 19th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Northam Platinum Holdings?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

We can see that Northam Platinum Holdings does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Northam Platinum Holdings' historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
JSE:NPH Earnings and Revenue Growth March 19th 2024

Our data indicates that hedge funds own 5.9% of Northam Platinum Holdings. That worth noting, since hedge funds are often quite active investors, who may try to influence management. Many want to see value creation (and a higher share price) in the short term or medium term. The company's largest shareholder is Public Investment Corporation Limited, with ownership of 18%. With 10% and 8.8% of the shares outstanding respectively, M&G Investment Management Limited and Royal Bafokeng Holdings (Pty) Ltd are the second and third largest shareholders.

On further inspection, we found that more than half the company's shares are owned by the top 6 shareholders, suggesting that the interests of the larger shareholders are balanced out to an extent by the smaller ones.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of Northam Platinum Holdings

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our information suggests that Northam Platinum Holdings Limited insiders own under 1% of the company. Keep in mind that it's a big company, and the insiders own R12m worth of shares. The absolute value might be more important than the proportional share. It is always good to see at least some insider ownership, but it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling.

General Public Ownership

With a 23% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Northam Platinum Holdings. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Northam Platinum Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors.

I like to dive deeper into how a company has performed in the past. You can access this interactive graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow, for free.

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Northam Platinum Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About JSE:NPH

Northam Platinum Holdings

Through its subsidiary, Northam Platinum Limited, engages in the production and sale of platinum group metals in South Africa, the Americas, Europe, the United Kingdom, Far East, rest of Africa, the Middle East, Australasia, and the People's Republic of China.

Flawless balance sheet with high growth potential.