Impala Platinum Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Impala Platinum Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 84.9% and 8.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 85.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.4% in 3 years.

Key information

84.9%

Earnings growth rate

85.1%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth	31.5%
Revenue growth rate	8.2%
Future return on equity	10.4%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	17 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Here's Why Shareholders Should Examine Impala Platinum Holdings Limited's (JSE:IMP) CEO Compensation Package More Closely

Oct 24

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited's (JSE:IMP) 47% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors

Oct 12

We Think Some Shareholders May Hesitate To Increase Impala Platinum Holdings Limited's (JSE:IMP) CEO Compensation

Oct 06

A Look At The Fair Value Of Impala Platinum Holdings Limited (JSE:IMP)

Sep 06

An Intrinsic Calculation For Impala Platinum Holdings Limited (JSE:IMP) Suggests It's 39% Undervalued

Jun 04

Impala Platinum Holdings (JSE:IMP) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency

Apr 11

A Look At The Fair Value Of Impala Platinum Holdings Limited (JSE:IMP)

Feb 17

Is There An Opportunity With Impala Platinum Holdings Limited's (JSE:IMP) 32% Undervaluation?

Nov 16

Robust Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Impala Platinum Holdings (JSE:IMP)

Sep 12

Earnings Working Against Impala Platinum Holdings Limited's (JSE:IMP) Share Price Following 29% Dive

Sep 11

Impala Platinum Holdings (JSE:IMP) Knows How To Allocate Capital Effectively

Jun 29

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

JSE:IMP - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (ZAR Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	109,016	6,184	6,096	14,069	6
6/30/2026	102,435	7,356	6,601	15,123	6
6/30/2025	90,488	4,463	4,621	14,061	6
6/30/2024	86,398	-17,313	-7,039	6,941	N/A
3/31/2024	89,310	-12,383	-5,636	8,668	N/A
12/31/2023	92,222	-7,454	-2,920	10,395	N/A
9/30/2023	99,408	-1,274	4,647	16,982	N/A
6/30/2023	106,594	4,905	10,899	23,569	N/A
3/31/2023	113,552	18,545	16,194	27,701	N/A
12/31/2022	120,509	32,184	21,488	31,832	N/A
9/30/2022	119,421	32,117	23,730	33,386	N/A
6/30/2022	118,332	32,049	25,971	34,939	N/A
3/31/2022	122,703	33,921	28,226	36,300	N/A
12/31/2021	127,074	35,792	30,481	37,660	N/A
9/30/2021	128,325	41,412	33,025	39,747	N/A
6/30/2021	129,575	47,032	35,569	41,834	N/A
3/31/2021	114,764	42,381	31,755	37,369	N/A
12/31/2020	99,953	37,730	27,941	32,904	N/A
9/30/2020	84,902	26,893	20,408	25,013	N/A
6/30/2020	69,851	16,055	12,874	17,122	N/A
3/31/2020	61,489	9,312	9,756	13,872	N/A
12/31/2019	53,127	2,568	6,638	10,621	N/A
9/30/2019	50,878	2,020	6,710	10,640	N/A
6/30/2019	48,629	1,471	6,781	10,658	N/A
3/31/2019	45,362	-3,369	4,725	8,909	N/A
12/31/2018	42,095	-8,210	2,668	7,159	N/A
9/30/2018	38,975	-9,444	-1,000	3,579	N/A
6/30/2018	35,854	-10,679	-4,668	-1	N/A
3/31/2018	35,746	-9,345	N/A	10	N/A
12/31/2017	35,637	-8,012	N/A	21	N/A
9/30/2017	36,239	-8,116	N/A	517	N/A
6/30/2017	36,841	-8,220	N/A	1,013	N/A
3/31/2017	37,225	-4,405	N/A	1,311	N/A
12/31/2016	37,609	-590	N/A	1,609	N/A
9/30/2016	36,771	-330	N/A	2,170	N/A
6/30/2016	35,932	-70	N/A	2,731	N/A
3/31/2016	34,657	-1,916	N/A	2,938	N/A
12/31/2015	33,381	-3,763	N/A	3,144	N/A
9/30/2015	32,929	-3,713	N/A	2,736	N/A
6/30/2015	32,477	-3,663	N/A	2,328	N/A
3/31/2015	30,453	-2,142	N/A	2,345	N/A
12/31/2014	28,429	-622	N/A	2,362	N/A
9/30/2014	28,729	-307	N/A	3,229	N/A
6/30/2014	29,028	8	N/A	4,096	N/A
3/31/2014	30,150	545	N/A	4,299	N/A
12/31/2013	31,272	1,081	N/A	4,501	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: IMP is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (9.7%).

Earnings vs Market: IMP is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: IMP is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: IMP's revenue (8.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the ZA market (3.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: IMP's revenue (8.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: IMP's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.4%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/22 00:46
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited is covered by 26 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Gerhard Engelbrecht	Absa Bank Limited
Richard Hart	Arqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.
Wade Napier	Avior Capital Markets

Impala Platinum Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 10% to R104

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 18%

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended 31 December 2023

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%

Price target decreased by 7.0% to R107

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2023

Recent updates

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Aug 28, 2025

Here's Why Shareholders Should Examine Impala Platinum Holdings Limited's (JSE:IMP) CEO Compensation Package More Closely

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited's (JSE:IMP) 47% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Full year 2024 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 23% undervalued

Price target increased by 10% to R104

Lead Independent Director recently bought R720k worth of stock

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: R1.80 (vs R16.49 in 1H 2023)

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 18%

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended 31 December 2023

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%

Price target decreased by 7.0% to R107

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2023

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited (JSE:IMP) acquired remaining 43.59% in Royal Bafokeng Platinum Limited for ZAR 2.7 billion.

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 27%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 55%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 16%, revenue downgraded

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 30, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%

Price target decreased by 8.8% to R122

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited Approves the Appointment of Mametja Moshe as Audit and Risk Committee Member

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18%

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 12%

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 20%

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

Price target decreased by 15% to R146

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: R5.77 (vs R38.56 in FY 2022)

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited Declares Dividend for the Financial Year Ended 30 June 2023, Payable on 26 September 2023

Insufficient new directors

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited Announces Management Changes

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 14%

Upcoming dividend of R4.20 per share at 9.4% yield

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: R16.49 (vs R16.93 in 1H 2022)

CFO, Debt Officer & Executive Director recently sold R1.3m worth of stock

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited Announces Passing of an Independent Non-Executive Director, Peter William Davey

Price target increased to R245

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 11, 2023

Now 20% undervalued

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Aug 31, 2023

Board Member recently sold R6.0m worth of stock

CEO & Executive Director exercised options and sold R4.1m worth of stock

Public Investment Corporation SOC Limited on behalf of its clients acquired an unknown minority stake in Impala Platinum Holdings Limited (JSE:IMP).

We Think Some Shareholders May Hesitate To Increase Impala Platinum Holdings Limited's (JSE:IMP) CEO Compensation

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Upcoming dividend of R10.50 per share

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: R38.56 (vs R59.96 in FY 2021)

A Look At The Fair Value Of Impala Platinum Holdings Limited (JSE:IMP)

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Price target decreased to R235

An Intrinsic Calculation For Impala Platinum Holdings Limited (JSE:IMP) Suggests It's 39% Undervalued

Impala Platinum Holdings (JSE:IMP) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency

Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 21% undervalued

Upcoming dividend of R5.25 per share

CFO, Debt Officer & Executive Director recently sold R2.8m worth of stock

First half 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited Announces Interim Cash Dividend Results for the Six Months Ended 31 December 2021, Payable on 22 March 2022

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

A Look At The Fair Value Of Impala Platinum Holdings Limited (JSE:IMP)

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2021