With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 4.9x Hulamin Limited (JSE:HLM) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in South Africa have P/E ratios greater than 10x and even P/E's higher than 16x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Hulamin over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Hulamin
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Hulamin's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 48%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 151% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 14% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Hulamin's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Hulamin's P/E?
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Hulamin currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Hulamin.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hulamin might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About JSE:HLM
Hulamin
Engages in the manufacture and distribution of rolled and extruded aluminum products in South Africa, North America, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, Australasia, South America, and rest of Africa.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.