Gold Fields (JSE:GFI) Is Increasing Its Dividend To R2.10

By
Simply Wall St
Published
August 22, 2021
JSE:GFI
Source: Shutterstock

Gold Fields Limited (JSE:GFI) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend on the 13th of September to R2.10. Although the dividend is now higher, the yield is only 3.8%, which is below the industry average.

See our latest analysis for Gold Fields

Gold Fields Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments

While yield is important, another factor to consider about a company's dividend is whether the current payout levels are feasible. However, prior to this announcement, Gold Fields' dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. As a result, a large proportion of what it earned was being reinvested back into the business.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to fall by 4.2%. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, the company could be paying out more than double what it is earning, which is definitely a bit high to be sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
JSE:GFI Historic Dividend August 23rd 2021

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least 1 cut in the last 10 years. The first annual payment during the last 10 years was US$0.19 in 2011, and the most recent fiscal year payment was US$0.35. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6.0% a year over that time. A reasonable rate of dividend growth is good to see, but we're wary that the dividend history is not as solid as we'd like, having been cut at least once.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Gold Fields has impressed us by growing EPS at 55% per year over the past five years. Earnings have been growing rapidly, and with a low payout ratio we think that the company could turn out to be a great dividend stock.

We Really Like Gold Fields' Dividend

Overall, a dividend increase is always good, and we think that Gold Fields is a strong income stock thanks to its track record and growing earnings. The earnings easily cover the company's distributions, and the company is generating plenty of cash. However, it is worth noting that the earnings are expected to fall over the next year, which may not change the long term outlook, but could affect the dividend payment in the next 12 months. Taking this all into consideration, this looks like it could be a good dividend opportunity.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 3 warning signs for Gold Fields that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high performing dividend stock.

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