Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital At Bowler Metcalf (JSE:BCF) Have Hit The Brakes

JSE:BCF
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If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Bowler Metcalf (JSE:BCF) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Bowler Metcalf is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.12 = R87m ÷ (R783m - R46m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

Therefore, Bowler Metcalf has an ROCE of 12%. In absolute terms, that's a pretty standard return but compared to the Chemicals industry average it falls behind.

Check out our latest analysis for Bowler Metcalf

roce
JSE:BCF Return on Capital Employed July 1st 2023

In the above chart we have measured Bowler Metcalf's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Bowler Metcalf here for free.

SWOT Analysis for Bowler Metcalf

Strength
  • Currently debt free.
Weakness
  • Earnings declined over the past year.
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Chemicals market.
  • Current share price is above our estimate of fair value.
Opportunity
  • BCF's financial characteristics indicate limited near-term opportunities for shareholders.
Threat
  • Dividends are not covered by cash flow.

So How Is Bowler Metcalf's ROCE Trending?

Things have been pretty stable at Bowler Metcalf, with its capital employed and returns on that capital staying somewhat the same for the last five years. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. With that in mind, unless investment picks up again in the future, we wouldn't expect Bowler Metcalf to be a multi-bagger going forward.

In Conclusion...

In a nutshell, Bowler Metcalf has been trudging along with the same returns from the same amount of capital over the last five years. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 119% gain to shareholders who have held over the last five years. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.

One more thing, we've spotted 2 warning signs facing Bowler Metcalf that you might find interesting.

While Bowler Metcalf may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Bowler Metcalf might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.