The board of Netcare Limited (JSE:NTC) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of ZAR0.30 on the 17th of July, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 4.1%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.
View our latest analysis for Netcare
Netcare's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. The last dividend was quite easily covered by Netcare's earnings. This means that a large portion of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.
The next year is set to see EPS grow by 87.3%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 36%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ZAR0.528 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of ZAR0.60. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 1.3% a year over that time. The dividend has seen some fluctuations in the past, so even though the dividend was raised this year, we should remember that it has been cut in the past.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Over the past five years, it looks as though Netcare's EPS has declined at around 21% a year. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.
Our Thoughts On Netcare's Dividend
Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Netcare will make a great income stock. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Netcare that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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About JSE:NTC
Netcare
An investment holding company, operates private hospitals in South Africa.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.