Life Healthcare Group Holdings Limited

JSE:LHC Stock Report

Market Cap: R14.7b

Life Healthcare Group Holdings Valuation

Is LHC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LHC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LHC (ZAR10.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (ZAR11.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LHC is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LHC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

LHC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.3x
PEG Ratio0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LHC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LHC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average48.1x
NTC Netcare
11.5x19.6%R14.5b
RHK RHÖN-KLINIKUM
18.8xn/a€729.6m
CHG Chularat Hospital
29.4x13.2%฿30.8b
SIA Sienna Senior Living
132.6xn/aCA$933.3m
LHC Life Healthcare Group Holdings
11.7x15.2%R14.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LHC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the peer average (23.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LHC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Healthcare Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LHC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the Global Healthcare industry average (21.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LHC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LHC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.7x
Fair PE Ratio20.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LHC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LHC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR10.20
R18.12
+77.7%
13.6%R21.50R13.63n/a7
Apr ’25R17.19
R19.18
+11.6%
9.4%R21.50R16.33n/a7
Mar ’25R17.60
R20.02
+13.7%
13.8%R24.40R16.33n/a7
Feb ’25R17.98
R20.02
+11.3%
13.8%R24.40R16.33n/a7
Jan ’25R18.37
R20.13
+9.6%
13.7%R24.40R16.33n/a7
Dec ’24R18.05
R21.36
+18.4%
12.5%R24.40R16.90n/a7
Nov ’24R18.75
R22.28
+18.8%
8.1%R24.40R20.05n/a7
Oct ’24R20.26
R21.95
+8.3%
7.5%R24.40R20.05n/a7
Sep ’24R21.45
R21.54
+0.4%
6.5%R24.00R20.05n/a6
Aug ’24R20.80
R21.54
+3.6%
6.5%R24.00R20.05n/a6
Jul ’24R20.55
R20.93
+1.8%
8.0%R24.00R18.70n/a6
Jun ’24R19.15
R20.42
+6.6%
8.2%R24.00R18.70n/a6
May ’24R20.74
R20.18
-2.7%
5.8%R22.50R18.70n/a6
Apr ’24R19.29
R20.17
+4.5%
5.8%R22.50R18.70R17.196
Mar ’24R19.69
R20.91
+6.2%
10.1%R25.34R18.70R17.607
Feb ’24R17.00
R21.17
+24.5%
10.1%R25.50R18.70R17.987
Jan ’24R16.88
R22.43
+32.9%
10.5%R26.00R19.50R18.377
Dec ’23R16.55
R22.43
+35.5%
10.5%R26.00R19.50R18.057
Nov ’23R19.35
R22.55
+16.5%
10.7%R26.00R18.75R18.757
Oct ’23R17.25
R22.59
+31.0%
10.7%R26.00R18.75R20.267
Sep ’23R20.02
R23.38
+16.8%
7.7%R26.00R21.30R21.456
Aug ’23R19.78
R23.38
+18.2%
7.7%R26.00R21.30R20.806
Jul ’23R17.67
R24.30
+37.5%
7.8%R26.78R21.50R20.556
Jun ’23R18.55
R25.80
+39.1%
8.9%R29.00R21.50R19.156
May ’23R21.52
R26.74
+24.3%
6.1%R29.00R23.90R20.747
Apr ’23R23.23
R26.95
+16.0%
5.5%R29.00R23.90R19.297

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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