Tongaat Hulett Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of TON when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

TON (ZAR4.04) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (ZAR1.83)

Is TON undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TON when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TON (ZAR4.04) is trading above our estimate of fair value (ZAR1.83)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TON is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TON?

Key metric: As TON is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for TON. This is calculated by dividing TON's market cap by their current revenue.
What is TON's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	0.04x
Sales	R15.34b
Market Cap	R545.85m

TON key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	4.5x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TON's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TON vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	0.3x
BRT Brimstone Investment	0.3x	n/a	R1.2b
QFH Quantum Foods Holdings	0.3x	n/a	R1.8b
SHG Sea Harvest Group	0.4x	13.9%	R2.7b
LBR Libstar Holdings	0.2x	4.4%	R2.7b
TON Tongaat Hulett	0.04x	n/a	R545.9m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TON is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x) compared to the peer average (0.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does TON's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Food Industry?

9 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	0.8x	5.7%
TON Tongaat Hulett	0.04x	n/a	US$29.88m

9 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	0.8x	8.0%
TON Tongaat Hulett	0.04x	n/a	US$29.88m

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TON is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x) compared to the African Food industry average (0.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TON's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TON PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	0.04x
Fair PS Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TON's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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