What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Libstar Holdings (JSE:LBR) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Libstar Holdings:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.068 = R534m ÷ (R9.9b - R2.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).
So, Libstar Holdings has an ROCE of 6.8%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Food industry average of 8.4%.
View our latest analysis for Libstar Holdings
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Libstar Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Libstar Holdings here for free.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Libstar Holdings Tell Us?
There hasn't been much to report for Libstar Holdings' returns and its level of capital employed because both metrics have been steady for the past five years. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. So unless we see a substantial change at Libstar Holdings in terms of ROCE and additional investments being made, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger. With fewer investment opportunities, it makes sense that Libstar Holdings has been paying out a decent 34% of its earnings to shareholders. Unless businesses have highly compelling growth opportunities, they'll typically return some money to shareholders.
The Bottom Line
In a nutshell, Libstar Holdings has been trudging along with the same returns from the same amount of capital over the last five years. Since the stock has declined 54% over the last five years, investors may not be too optimistic on this trend improving either. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.
One more thing to note, we've identified 2 warning signs with Libstar Holdings and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About JSE:LBR
Libstar Holdings
Produces and distributes products and brands for the consumer-packaged goods industry in South Africa and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.
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