Stock Analysis

FirstRand's (JSE:FSR) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

JSE:FSR
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FirstRand Limited's (JSE:FSR) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to ZAR2.15 on 14th of October. This makes the dividend yield about the same as the industry average at 5.2%.

Check out our latest analysis for FirstRand

FirstRand's Earnings Will Easily Cover The Distributions

Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable.

Having distributed dividends for at least 10 years, FirstRand has a long history of paying out a part of its earnings to shareholders. Taking data from its last earnings report, calculating for the company's payout ratio shows 61%, which means that FirstRand would be able to pay its last dividend without pressure on the balance sheet.

The next 3 years are set to see EPS grow by 36.8%. Analysts forecast the future payout ratio could be 59% over the same time horizon, which is a number we think the company can maintain.

historic-dividend
JSE:FSR Historic Dividend September 20th 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ZAR1.58 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of ZAR4.30. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 11% per annum over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

FirstRand May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. However, FirstRand has only grown its earnings per share at 4.8% per annum over the past five years. The company has been growing at a pretty soft 4.8% per annum, and is paying out quite a lot of its earnings to shareholders. This isn't necessarily bad, but we wouldn't expect rapid dividend growth in the future.

Our Thoughts On FirstRand's Dividend

Overall, it's great to see the dividend being raised and that it is still in a sustainable range. The dividend has been at reasonable levels historically, but that hasn't translated into a consistent payment. The dividend looks okay, but there have been some issues in the past, so we would be a little bit cautious.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for FirstRand that investors should take into consideration. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.