Stock Analysis

There May Be Reason For Hope In Tsogo Sun's (JSE:TSG) Disappointing Earnings

The market for Tsogo Sun Limited's (JSE:TSG) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. Our analysis suggests that while the profits are soft, the foundations of the business are strong.

earnings-and-revenue-history
JSE:TSG Earnings and Revenue History December 5th 2025
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The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

To properly understand Tsogo Sun's profit results, we need to consider the R408m expense attributed to unusual items. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Tsogo Sun to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Tsogo Sun's Profit Performance

Unusual items (expenses) detracted from Tsogo Sun's earnings over the last year, but we might see an improvement next year. Because of this, we think Tsogo Sun's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! Unfortunately, though, its earnings per share actually fell back over the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Tsogo Sun at this point in time. At Simply Wall St, we found 2 warning signs for Tsogo Sun and we think they deserve your attention.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Tsogo Sun's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tsogo Sun might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About JSE:TSG

Tsogo Sun

Engages in the gaming, entertainment, and hospitality business in South Africa.

Fair value with mediocre balance sheet.

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