UGI Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

UGI is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 13.8% and 4.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 13.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.5% in 3 years.

Key information

13.8%

Earnings growth rate

13.7%

EPS growth rate

Gas Utilities earnings growth	10.9%
Revenue growth rate	4.3%
Future return on equity	11.5%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	23 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

We Think UGI (NYSE:UGI) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Dec 18

UGI Corporation: Winning Combination Of High Yield And Low Valuation

Dec 10

UGI Corporation's (NYSE:UGI) Share Price Boosted 26% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Nov 30

UGI Corporation: The Company Needs To Improve Its Leverage And Liquidity Conditions

Oct 18

UGI Corporation: Undervalued And A Long-Term Buy

Sep 15

UGI's 6% Yield Is A Gift For Dividend Investors

Aug 10

Despite The Risks, Valuation Makes UGI Corporation A Buy

Jul 05

UGI: A Table-Pounding Buy

Jun 22

UGI Q1 2023 Earnings Preview

Jan 31

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:UGI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
9/30/2027	9,318	678	N/A	1,417	3
9/30/2026	9,317	644	N/A	1,332	3
9/30/2025	9,254	624	N/A	1,292	3
9/30/2024	7,210	269	386	1,182	N/A
6/30/2024	7,372	673	447	1,281	N/A
3/31/2024	7,651	-68	439	1,324	N/A
12/31/2023	8,290	-454	546	1,466	N/A
9/30/2023	8,928	-1,502	133	1,107	N/A
6/30/2023	9,458	-1,389	-198	725	N/A
3/31/2023	9,832	-607	-123	740	N/A
12/31/2022	10,192	216	242	1,070	N/A
9/30/2022	10,106	1,073	-88	716	N/A
6/30/2022	9,610	1,354	501	1,282	N/A
3/31/2022	9,073	1,511	494	1,235	N/A
12/31/2021	8,188	1,067	47	736	N/A
9/30/2021	7,447	1,467	791	1,481	N/A
6/30/2021	7,133	951	542	1,186	N/A
3/31/2021	6,836	886	569	1,186	N/A
12/31/2020	6,484	623	475	1,135	N/A
9/30/2020	6,559	532	447	1,102	N/A
6/30/2020	6,585	471	451	1,116	N/A
3/31/2020	6,750	384	316	1,022	N/A
12/31/2019	7,127	404	396	1,099	N/A
9/30/2019	7,320	256	373	1,078	N/A
6/30/2019	7,443	332	393	1,083	N/A
3/31/2019	7,520	386	475	1,124	N/A
12/31/2018	7,726	417	540	1,151	N/A
9/30/2018	7,651	719	511	1,085	N/A
6/30/2018	7,492	699	N/A	1,045	N/A
3/31/2018	7,205	628	N/A	959	N/A
12/31/2017	6,566	572	N/A	869	N/A
9/30/2017	6,121	437	N/A	964	N/A
6/30/2017	5,983	388	N/A	953	N/A
3/31/2017	5,960	468	N/A	936	N/A
12/31/2016	5,759	481	N/A	969	N/A
9/30/2016	5,686	365	N/A	970	N/A
6/30/2016	5,792	399	N/A	1,059	N/A
3/31/2016	5,810	348	N/A	1,124	N/A
12/31/2015	6,293	362	N/A	1,272	N/A
9/30/2015	6,691	281	N/A	1,164	N/A
6/30/2015	6,920	270	N/A	1,115	N/A
3/31/2015	7,258	281	N/A	1,180	N/A
12/31/2014	7,966	249	N/A	952	N/A
9/30/2014	8,277	337	N/A	1,005	N/A
6/30/2014	8,225	343	N/A	973	N/A
3/31/2014	8,113	331	N/A	804	N/A
12/31/2013	7,492	298	N/A	843	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: UGI's forecast earnings growth (13.8% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: UGI's earnings (13.8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: UGI's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: UGI's revenue (4.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: UGI's revenue (4.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: UGI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.5%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/30 14:52
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/30 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2024/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

UGI Corporation is covered by 12 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Nathan Judge	Atlantic Equities LLP
Richard Gross	Barclays
Carl Kirst	BMO Capital Markets Equity Research

UGI Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 8.6% to US$30.67

Price target decreased by 9.4% to US$29.00

Price target decreased by 9.4% to US$36.25

Price target decreased by 8.7% to US$40.40

Recent updates

UGI Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jan 31, 2025

We Think UGI (NYSE:UGI) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Independent Non-Executive Chairman exercised options and sold US$1.4m worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of US$0.38 per share

UGI Corporation: Winning Combination Of High Yield And Low Valuation

High number of new directors

UGI Corporation's (NYSE:UGI) Share Price Boosted 26% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.38 announced

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%

UGI Corporation Declares Quarterly Common Dividend, Payable on January 1, 2025

UGI Corporation to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Nov 21, 2024

UGI Corporation Announces Management Changes

Should You Investigate UGI Corporation (NYSE:UGI) At US$24.16?

UGI Corporation Appoints Melanie Ruiz and David Bingenheimer to Its Board of Directors, Effective November 1, 2024

UGI Corporation: Solid Liquidity, Encouraging Dividend Plans, Mixed Chart

Upcoming dividend of US$0.38 per share

UGI (NYSE:UGI) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

UGI Corporation Elects Tina Faraca to its Board of Directors

Third quarter dividend of US$0.38 announced

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

UGI Corporation Declares Quarterly Common Stock Dividend, Payable on October 1, 2024

UGI Corporation's (NYSE:UGI) Shares Lagging The Industry But So Is The Business

UGI Corporation: A Lot To Do With Market Sentiment

UGI Corporation to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Aug 07, 2024

UGI Corporation announced that it has received $700 million in funding

Upcoming dividend of US$0.38 per share

UGI (NYSE:UGI) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Second quarter dividend of US$0.38 announced

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

UGI Corporation Declares Common Dividend, Payable on July 1, 2024

Why UGI Could Double If Confidence Returns (Rating Upgrade)

UGI Corporation to Report Q2, 2024 Results on May 01, 2024

Price target increased by 8.6% to US$30.67

Insufficient Growth At UGI Corporation (NYSE:UGI) Hampers Share Price

Upcoming dividend of US$0.38 per share

UGI: Strategic Review, Recent Debt Agreements Are Positives

First quarter dividend of US$0.38 announced

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

UGI Corporation: Dashed Expectations Create Buy Opportunity

UGI Corporation Declares a Quarterly Dividend, Payable on April 1, 2024

Is It Time To Consider Buying UGI Corporation (NYSE:UGI)?

Is UGI (NYSE:UGI) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

UGI Corporation to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Jan 31, 2024

UGI Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jan 26, 2024

Insufficient new directors

UGI: Utility Gas Income Company With Yield Of 6.9%

UGI Corporation Announces Resignation of Roger Perreault as President and Member of the Board

Upcoming dividend of US$0.38 per share at 6.6% yield

7%-Yielding UGI Corp: Discounted Dividend Aristocrat

Price target decreased by 9.4% to US$29.00

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

UGI Corporation Declares Common Dividend, Payable on January 1, 2024

UGI Corporation: The Company Needs To Improve Its Leverage And Liquidity Conditions

UGI Corporation Appoints Jason Rich as Vice President and Treasurer

UGI Corporation to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Nov 16, 2023

UGI Corporation Announces Board Changes

UGI Corporation: Undervalued And A Long-Term Buy

UGI Corporation Appoints Santiago Seage to Serve as Director of the Company, Effective September 18, 2023

Upcoming dividend of US$0.38 per share at 6.0% yield

UGI's 6% Yield Is A Gift For Dividend Investors

Price target decreased by 9.4% to US$36.25

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: US$3.76 loss per share (vs US$0.033 loss in 3Q 2022)

Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop

UGI Corporation Declares Quarterly Dividend on its Common Stock, Payable on October 1, 2023

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

UGI Corporation to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Aug 02, 2023

Despite The Risks, Valuation Makes UGI Corporation A Buy

UGI: A Table-Pounding Buy