Update shared on 10 Dec 2025
Analysts have nudged their price target for UGI slightly higher to approximately $43.00 per share, reflecting modestly lower discount rate assumptions and stable long term forecasts for revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples.
What's in the News
- Completed a multi year share repurchase program originally announced on May 8, 2018, totaling 4,650,000 shares, or 2.33% of outstanding shares, for $194.64 million (company filing)
- In the most recent tranche from July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, repurchased 500,000 shares, representing 0.23% of shares outstanding, for $16.53 million (company filing)
- Ongoing capital returns via buybacks signal management confidence in long term cash flow stability and balance sheet capacity (company commentary/market interpretation)
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value Estimate maintained at approximately $43.00 per share, indicating no material change to the central valuation outcome.
- Discount Rate edged down slightly from about 7.34 percent to roughly 7.33 percent, modestly increasing the present value of future cash flows.
- Revenue Growth effectively unchanged at around 3.42 percent annually, signaling stable long term top line expectations.
- Net Profit Margin essentially flat at about 9.75 percent, reflecting steady assumptions for long term profitability.
- Future P/E decreased marginally from roughly 14.41 times to 14.41 times, a negligible shift in the assumed exit multiple.
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