TransAlta Corporation

NYSE:TAC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.0b

TransAlta Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

TransAlta is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 109% and 0.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 108.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -27.1% in 3 years.

Key information

109.0%

Earnings growth rate

108.21%

EPS growth rate

Renewable Energy earnings growth32.7%
Revenue growth rate0.9%
Future return on equity-27.10%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated02 Mar 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

TransAlta: Canada's Powerhouse Of The Energy Transition

Jan 17

TransAlta: Cratering Alberta Power Prices Offset By Option Premiums

Apr 28

TransAlta's Growth Story Has Holes And I'm Not Buying It

Feb 21

TransAlta: The Transition Must Accelerate

Mar 07

TransAlta: A Major Player, A Good Buy At Below $10.5/Share

Dec 13

TransAlta Q4 2022 Earnings Preview

Feb 22

TransAlta declares CAD 0.055 dividend

Dec 12

TransAlta prices $400M senior green bond offering

Nov 15

TransAlta Q3 2022 Earnings Preview

Nov 07

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:TAC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CAD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20282,4831974928253
12/31/20272,206335107084
12/31/20262,102-164146334
12/31/20252,405-190384646N/A
9/30/20252,484-193352630N/A
6/30/20252,507-167307608N/A
3/31/20252,6561273559N/A
12/31/20242,845177469796N/A
9/30/20242,791158442891N/A
6/30/20243,1705668031,343N/A
3/31/20243,2135725761,246N/A
12/31/20233,3556445761,464N/A
9/30/20233,5855654141,505N/A
6/30/20233,497254-1791,028N/A
3/31/20233,330112-255888N/A
12/31/20222,9764-72877N/A
9/30/20222,73289-69580N/A
6/30/20222,653-428493986N/A
3/31/20222,814-3607121,195N/A
12/31/20212,721-5765121,001N/A
9/30/20212,655-6654931,057N/A
6/30/20212,319-345136704N/A
3/31/20212,137-393220745N/A
12/31/20202,101-336202702N/A
9/30/20202,166-103391773N/A
6/30/20202,24584411844N/A
3/31/20202,305144513981N/A
12/31/20192,34752418849N/A
9/30/20192,360-136N/A800N/A
6/30/20192,360-273N/A631N/A
3/31/20192,309-378N/A477N/A
12/31/20182,249-248N/A820N/A
9/30/20182,265-271N/A769N/A
6/30/20182,260-212N/A811N/A
3/31/20182,317-125N/A770N/A
12/31/20172,307-190N/A626N/A
9/30/20172,38616N/A667N/A
6/30/20172,41831N/A694N/A
3/31/20172,40755N/A750N/A
12/31/20162,397117N/A744N/A
9/30/20162,27549N/A740N/A
6/30/20162,296215N/A712N/A
3/31/20162,24278N/A554N/A
12/31/20152,267-24N/A432N/A
9/30/20152,390131N/A564N/A
6/30/20152,388-29N/A580N/A
3/31/20152,44152N/A670N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TAC is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.4%).

Earnings vs Market: TAC is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: TAC is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: TAC's revenue (0.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (10.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TAC's revenue (0.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TAC is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/03/04 06:51
End of Day Share Price 2026/03/04 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

TransAlta Corporation is covered by 20 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nathan HeywoodATB Cormark
Benjamin PhamBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Julien Dumoulin-SmithBofA Global Research