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Some Confidence Is Lacking In OGE Energy Corp.'s (NYSE:OGE) P/E
It's not a stretch to say that OGE Energy Corp.'s (NYSE:OGE) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in the United States, where the median P/E ratio is around 19x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
OGE Energy certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
See our latest analysis for OGE Energy
How Is OGE Energy's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like OGE Energy's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 19% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 47% drop in EPS in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 3.1% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 11% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's curious that OGE Energy's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Bottom Line On OGE Energy's P/E
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of OGE Energy's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for OGE Energy you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.
If you're unsure about the strength of OGE Energy's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:OGE
OGE Energy
Through its subsidiary, operates as an energy services provider in the United States.
Solid track record average dividend payer.
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