Stock Analysis

Investors Interested In New Jersey Resources Corporation's (NYSE:NJR) Earnings

NYSE:NJR
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There wouldn't be many who think New Jersey Resources Corporation's (NYSE:NJR) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.2x is worth a mention when the median P/E in the United States is similar at about 17x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, New Jersey Resources has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to revert back to market averages soon, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for New Jersey Resources

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:NJR Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 11th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on New Jersey Resources.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like New Jersey Resources' is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 16% decrease to the company's bottom line. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 38% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 9.3% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 10% per year, which is not materially different.

With this information, we can see why New Jersey Resources is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On New Jersey Resources' P/E

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that New Jersey Resources maintains its moderate P/E off the back of its forecast growth being in line with the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a high or low P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for New Jersey Resources (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether New Jersey Resources is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.