Stock Analysis

What National Fuel Gas (NFG)'s Income Growth and Expansion Plans Mean for Shareholders

  • National Fuel Gas Co. recently reported strong year-over-year growth in net income, supported by its integrated operations across exploration, production, pipeline, and utility services in the Appalachian region.
  • The company is pursuing further growth through infrastructure expansion and technological innovation, while navigating regulatory and environmental challenges in the natural gas sector.
  • We'll examine how National Fuel Gas's focus on infrastructure expansion and integration could reshape its investment narrative and long-term prospects.

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National Fuel Gas Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in National Fuel Gas, investors need to believe in long-term US natural gas demand, the resilience of integrated operations in the Appalachian region, and the company’s ability to manage regulatory pressures. The recent strong net income figures reinforce confidence in near-term earnings growth, but do not fundamentally change the biggest immediate catalyst, execution of infrastructure expansion projects, or the primary risk, which remains long-term policy uncertainty around decarbonization in key markets.

Most relevant to the recent results, the company’s latest quarterly dividend increase highlights both management's focus on capital returns and its positive outlook for future cash flows. This announcement bears directly on the importance of maintaining strong free cash flow as National Fuel Gas continues to invest in large-scale pipeline and system modernization initiatives that underpin future revenue growth.

Yet, despite earnings momentum, investors should be aware that intensifying policy efforts to curb emissions may...

Read the full narrative on National Fuel Gas (it's free!)

National Fuel Gas' outlook forecasts $3.3 billion in revenue and $1.1 billion in earnings by 2028. This implies an annual revenue growth rate of 14.9% and a $856.5 million increase in earnings from the current $243.5 million.

Uncover how National Fuel Gas' forecasts yield a $102.00 fair value, a 27% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

NFG Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
NFG Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Simply Wall St Community members' fair value estimates for National Fuel Gas span from US$39.58 to US$152.74 across four views. With policy pressures on gas demand as a central risk, you can compare how others weigh potential revenue growth versus regulatory uncertainty.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on National Fuel Gas - why the stock might be worth as much as 89% more than the current price!

Build Your Own National Fuel Gas Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if National Fuel Gas might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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About NYSE:NFG

National Fuel Gas

Operates as a diversified energy company.

Undervalued with solid track record and pays a dividend.

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