Stock Analysis

MDU Resources Group (NYSE:MDU) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

NYSE:MDU
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that MDU Resources Group, Inc. (NYSE:MDU) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for MDU Resources Group

What Is MDU Resources Group's Debt?

As you can see below, MDU Resources Group had US$2.38b of debt, at September 2021, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$57.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$2.32b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:MDU Debt to Equity History December 16th 2021

How Healthy Is MDU Resources Group's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that MDU Resources Group had liabilities of US$1.07b due within a year, and liabilities of US$4.16b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$57.2m as well as receivables valued at US$979.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$4.20b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$6.04b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on MDU Resources Group's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

MDU Resources Group has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.7 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 6.0 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. MDU Resources Group grew its EBIT by 6.1% in the last year. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if MDU Resources Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, MDU Resources Group reported free cash flow worth 4.9% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

MDU Resources Group's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. For example, its EBIT growth rate is relatively strong. We should also note that Integrated Utilities industry companies like MDU Resources Group commonly do use debt without problems. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that MDU Resources Group is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - MDU Resources Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.