Stock Analysis

Chesapeake Utilities' (NYSE:CPK) 13% CAGR outpaced the company's earnings growth over the same five-year period

Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And while active stock picking involves risks (and requires diversification) it can also provide excess returns. To wit, the Chesapeake Utilities share price has climbed 68% in five years, easily topping the market return of 52% (ignoring dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 5.0% in the last year , including dividends .

Since it's been a strong week for Chesapeake Utilities shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

See our latest analysis for Chesapeake Utilities

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During five years of share price growth, Chesapeake Utilities achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 12% per year. This EPS growth is reasonably close to the 11% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore one could conclude that sentiment towards the shares hasn't morphed very much. In fact, the share price seems to largely reflect the EPS growth.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:CPK Earnings Per Share Growth June 28th 2022

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Chesapeake Utilities' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Chesapeake Utilities the TSR over the last 5 years was 83%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Chesapeake Utilities shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 5.0% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. However, the TSR over five years, coming in at 13% per year, is even more impressive. The pessimistic view would be that be that the stock has its best days behind it, but on the other hand the price might simply be moderating while the business itself continues to execute. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Chesapeake Utilities (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

But note: Chesapeake Utilities may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

Mobile Infrastructure for Defense and Disaster

The next wave in robotics isn't humanoid. Its fully autonomous towers delivering 5G, ISR, and radar in under 30 minutes, anywhere.

Get the investor briefing before the next round of contracts

Sponsored On Behalf of CiTech

New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts

Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.

• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies

Or build your own from over 50 metrics.

Explore Now for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:CPK

Chesapeake Utilities

Operates as an energy delivery company in the United States.

Solid track record average dividend payer.

Weekly Picks

AL
RKLB logo
AlexLovell on Rocket Lab Ā·

Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

Fair Value:US$16.25268.7% overvalued
30 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
13 users have liked this narrative
AG
Agricola
EXN logo
Agricola on Excellon Resources Ā·

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Fair Value:CA$31.898.5% undervalued
37 users have followed this narrative
7 users have commented on this narrative
15 users have liked this narrative
FU
FundamentallySarcastic
CCP logo
FundamentallySarcastic on Credit Corp Group Ā·

Moderation and Stabilisation: HOLD: Fair Price based on a 4-year Cycle is $12.08

Fair Value:AU$12.6410.8% overvalued
7 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

JE
JeremyBeeAi
PSEC logo
JeremyBeeAi on Prospect Capital Ā·

Title: Market Sentiment Is Dead Wrong — Here's Why PSEC Deserves a Second Look

Fair Value:US$3.8936.0% undervalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
DA
davidlsander
QS logo
davidlsander on QuantumScape Ā·

An amazing opportunity to potentially get a 100 bagger

Fair Value:US$2555.9% undervalued
129 users have followed this narrative
10 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
YI
AMZN logo
yiannisz on Amazon.com Ā·

Amazon: Why the World’s Biggest Platform Still Runs on Invisible Economics

Fair Value:US$231.384.4% undervalued
5 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining Ā·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8686.7% undervalued
82 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
23 users have liked this narrative
TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision Ā·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.5% undervalued
123 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA Ā·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3931.7% undervalued
974 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
26 users have liked this narrative